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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. It's true for sure there. Around here it's the opposite-BDR is right on the water on a penisula so right now it's 76 there but in the low to mid 80's just inland...some of these stations are in places that aren't representative of the weather for most of the area they serve.
  2. I'd worry though about a heavy thunderstorm washing it away vs throwing some hose water on it right now.
  3. Another thing to consider is the dry ground almost coast to coast. May add some warmth to those numbers unless it turns wet. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
  4. Yeah I doubt much makes it into that green shaded area
  5. Off to the races today with a high launching pad-already 60 here
  6. verbatim it gets kicked back out and Thursday is warm but yeah that would suck RGEM has it too but much weaker more like RI/SEMA only
  7. up to 75 here-models were right with the late day high
  8. 72 here with hazy sun. Had a sprinkle earlier but mostly a decent day
  9. Clearing to our west we'll jump once that comes in
  10. True but I've seen some longer range winter predictions using analogs from even further back (1950's and 60's) Just not as reliable anymore but fair to say 1995 is recent enough that it's not as bad of a match. we will see. But always rooting against a 2009 type summer that was just awful.
  11. Exactly. Some of these analogs are not as useful given how much we have warmed since the 90's
  12. The other thing to consider is that the long range models showed blocking developing in late March-early April and it never happened. So let's see if this is real or more longer term forecasts that don't work out.
  13. The weeklies in mid Feb showed a cold March-instead we got a coast to coast torch. Take with a grain of salt.
  14. That's the other thing-even a -NAO in late April does it really bring the cold?
  15. Not to mention none of that has verified this spring...strongly positive since late Feb
  16. None of that has verified this spring....
  17. He busted badly in March-called for big pattern we got the opposite outside of a couple cold days
  18. models very dry into next week-all the moisture well north and west of us
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