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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. NJ did well. Models were too far north for most of LI/CT
  2. there's a big slug by Cape Cod-just patchy in coverage unfortunately
  3. looks like a tropical or subtropical storm off the VA capes
  4. Looks scattered and models won't be able to hone in on the exact areas that get a good downpour-obviously NYC S and E favored
  5. there would be lots of wishcasting, posting of every model run, and radar hallucinations lol
  6. Breezy, mostly cloudy and 73 here...will be a close call to get any rain here-12z runs are right on the edge. LI/NYC and most of Jersey do ok.
  7. almost always a northern correction within 24-36 hrs on these systems....
  8. some of the 12z runs have a bit of an inverted trough feature over the region...
  9. Dry soil will only help the cause-imagine if we did not get that 1-3 inches of rain last weekend
  10. A couple fall noreasters would wipe out that drought map...
  11. Cutoff lows notoriously difficult with precip placement. But would be nice to get another dump of rain and on a Monday-that would be great
  12. yep even the day 15 fantasy heat maps weren't there
  13. doesn't even show rain in the hourly obs today either-something is broken there
  14. moderate rain here-looks like another 1-2 hrs before it tapers off
  15. models already drying up for the weekend as well-mostly N and W of NYC and not much along the coast
  16. Same story most years-most forecasts are too bullish...it's more than just warm water to fuel the storms
  17. Euro has little to no rain NYC S and E through Sun. Others are wetter. I'm going Euro all the way given the dry conditions
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