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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. La Nina's tend to have their best cold/snow in the front end-so what we're seeing is not surprising.
  2. Ours was high last month-Nat Gas cold and price of NG was higher as well likely due to the market seeing the cold month ahead
  3. models were all south except the Euro-I remember Sat AM they still had us at a miss. By the PM it was 6-12 and winter storm warning.
  4. if you look at it that way then yes-those years 13-15 were cold....21-22, 22-23 and 23-24 were torches too
  5. Got one of my highest gas bills in a few years here for December
  6. Those winters had several periods of thaws-1st half of Jan 2014 was a torch and Feb 2015 also had a 2-3 week warmup
  7. people expect wall to wall cold-it never happens
  8. Just back from Florida-still 3-4 inches of snow on the ground here which is rare for an 8-9 day stretch in Dec-early Jan. Looks like it's all gone by the weekend however with the warmup
  9. takes away from the urgency of it when it's issued for the smallest of events
  10. there's going to be some disappointed folks on the far NE sections of the QPF forecasts
  11. I've never understood it-how long are you snowed in at your house? Maybe half a day tops?
  12. It may not be all that warm monday outside of a couple of hours. A half inch of rain even at 40 degrees on a 6 inch snowpack wont kill it all
  13. definitely don't want to end up in a subsidence area near one of the bands....
  14. Agreed-will absorb most of it and turn it into a glacier once we go below freezing Monday nite.
  15. That's the key here-southern areas want a heavy thump of snow up front then went the sleet gets there it's mostly done with
  16. Happens alot-the Dec 2020 was a good example where the sleet line ended up further north and the NAM was the only model that had it. That said the NAM has been all over the place with this one.
  17. Upton has 5-9 here-depends on banding. GFS is a wet outlier which is quite unusual
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