BuffaloWeather

Tonights event is going to be a close call in how far the band gets north. Mon into Tuesday will easily get to Metro.

Still looks good to me. Obviously looks better for my area then northtowns. Several disturbances will traverse through a thermal trough that will extend from the Upper Great Lakes across Lake Ontario during the Monday night through Tuesday night time period. Unlike the days leading into this period...a colder airmass with H85 temps of -10 to -12c will certainly support enough instability over the lakes for pure lake effect. This will focus accumulating lake snows east of both lakes. Headlines will likely be needed for this 36 hour period. The trough will push south of Lake Ontario on Wednesday...and with a -15c H85 airmass in place...fairly widespread lake snow showers can be anticipated for the western counties. Ridging Wednesday night with non-diurnal temp trend.

Looks like ADK got hit pretty hard https://www.facebook.com/LifeintheADKS/videos/243621797281801

Yeah but time temps are not as marginal. The RGEM did well with placement and close to QPF. Even at half this we're talking 10-15". Seems KBUF is going with it as well.

Snowing at stadium

Light snow here too.

New Map. Through Monday 7 PM

RGEM drops 2-2.5" of QPF in form of snow through 84 hours. 3.5" over the tug. Over 2 feet of snow at 1:10

Very strong band showing up on RGEM at 36 hours

KBUF calling for several rounds of snow for Buffalo next few days totaling a foot+ https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BUF&issuedby=BUF&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Canadian looks good just SE of here

Told ya'll its coming

My friends went up to Killington for the weekend.

Doesn't look too dry to me. Very active northern jet.

30" over my place at 1:10

With lake temps so warm and that cold coming I don't think sustained flow would even matter. Everyone would have feet.

Once lake erie freezes im cheering for a WNW/NW event for you tug. You haven't even been in a real LES event yet. Something like this would do it for you. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2010-2011&event=C

I see blues for the first time this year!

100"+ or bust.

Mon night into Tues should be the best chance of good accumulating snow for KBUF.

It get's really cold on GFS.

Never roll with the NAM.

RGEM has a really strong LES band over erie county on Tuesday. 1-2' and still going strong beyond 84 hours at 1:10 -13 850s is plenty enough