BuffaloWeather

Cuomo resigned

Winter analogs very early from ohweather So this year I'm playing with cool ENSO - moderate La Ninas, and looking (if possible) for ones with an easterly QBO, a negative IOD and a warm west Pac. Also, the lower frequency forcing this summer so far has been most favored over the western Pacific. It's an interesting set of analogs, with years like 74-75, 00-01, 05-06, 12-13 and 17-18 showing up in there, but also a disaster like 11-12 hitting many of those too.

Looks like some rain and cooler temps cleared out a lot of the smoke in glacier national park! I leave next Weds.

Yep the goal post keep getting moved. I have to wonder what the cdc goal/objective is in changing the rules as they go along. Will they eventually go to zero case strategy? The positivity rate is like 1% in Erie county and they’re going back to the rules of when we had rampant spread and no vaccines…it’s all political garbage at this point.

Is that a shelf cloud over the lake I see?

Takes my night walks to a new level, just fantastic humidity

I disagree the CDC requirements are hyper sensitive insanity.

I officially hate the CDC. I wish Trump would come back and say you're fired to them.

If only I could work from home. My wife does and loves it. Maybe I need to start job searching. Trying to get next role in management before I leave.

I'm ready.

I personally hate wearing a mask so much...We have over 20k employees, so this effects quite a few people on the east side of the country.

Well starting the 11th my work is back to wearing masks full time. We have over 20k employees. Substantial/high risk according to this map have to wear mask. Was fun while it lasted. https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home

How is erie county substantial covid risk? Our transmission level is like 1%?? This is link my work shared https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home

Just got this email from work...Beginning this Wednesday, August 11, if the county you work in is in a substantial or high transmission area, colleagues should wear masks regardless of vaccination status.

New research out of ICL has found fully vaccinated individuals are 3x LESS likely to test positive for SARS-CoV-2 than unvaccinated individuals AND are LESS likely to pass the virus on to others, due to having a smaller viral load on average and therefore shedding LESS virus.

Got central A/C this summer, best decision I ever made.

I wonder if the smoke from the fires out west are keeping us from getting into the 90s

I've been checking the webcams up in glacier. It seems some places are clear and others pretty smokey. This is an every summer thing now adays out west so tough to beat it. https://www.nps.gov/glac/learn/photosmultimedia/webcams.htm The Tetons look pretty clear https://www.nps.gov/subjects/air/webcams.htm?site=grte

Heading out west to Wyoming, Idaho, and Montana Aug 18-28. Anyone know what the smoke will look like when I am there or too early?

wolf and tug

My mom has advanced stage 4 cancer and I go with her to Roswell cancer center every week. They recommended her to receive the vaccine while she was undergoing pretty severe immunotherapy treatment. Chemotherapy and radiation did not work last year. Keytruda immunotherapy has worked and shrunk the tumor near her brain by 75%.

The west needs the rain, east is fine. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

Someone responded to that data on another forum I follow Well, there's a few things. -That 95% figure seems like it was pulled out of someone's butt. I can't find that anywhere. I have heard it's a majority and the last number I heard is 60/40, which is normal in such a highly vaccinated sample. -Speaking of highly vaccinated sample, let's address that. Israel is ridiculously young. Almost 30% of Israelis are under 15. That ~60% vaxxed figure is the whole population, including kids who mostly can't get it. The adult population is at somewhere between 85 and 90%. That sets the table for the rule of shares -- the more people vaccinated, the higher percentage of cases are breakthrough, even if the raw total doesn't change. -Israel still only has 492 hospitalizations. New York State, with a similar population, has 1,121 despite their surge starting later, as our adult population is only 69% (nice) full vaxxed. That shows you right there that vaccines are making a significant difference. -Israel hospitalizes more readily than we do. That differs across cultures. Of the 492 hospitalizations, only about 1 in 10 are intensive care. Article below about how many of their hospitalized patients are moderate cases and how the vaccines are helping to keep them moderate. Jeremy Lin, who used to play for the Knicks and now plays in China, was hospitalized yesterday in Shanghai for covid. He's absolutely fine and posting updates on social media -- just a mild fever. It's just normal to go to the hospital there. In the US, you're practically on death's door before you go because unlike in most of the developed world, it costs money here. Vaccinated Americans with moderate illness are going to say "hey, I'm vaccinated, so I'll take my chances over paying $131,000 for a hospital stay." Israel has more serious COVID cases, but patients have milder illness, doctors say