BuffaloWeather
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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather
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Anything beyond 3-4 days you want to use the GEFS/EPS. Anything beyond 10 days its almost useless. EURO/EPS only goes to day 10 unless its the weeklies which are ok in weeks 1-2 but anything beyond that useless. -
Was debating on going up to Yosemite in November. Might have too much snow up there on the peaks already.
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GFS has problems with long range cold. This entire statement is correct.
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GFS shows a nice dry slot over our area with next system. Would be far less rain than currently predicted by NWS if it happens
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-6 in early Nov doesn't cut it. In late Nov it could.
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Wow just perfect timing, fence install monday/tuesday. Waited 2 years for this day and the worst weather of the last 2 years comes. I'm pretty sure my fence is cursed.
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GFS still has it but more air is slightly warmer
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Long range looks up and down, right around average for next 2 weeks. The warm up looks like 1/2 warmish days next week, then another cool down for weekend. I would go above average snowfall for November.
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I remember that, I almost went with you that day but think I had to work.
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You have to use GPS locators in both locations. I was talking to a guy who had finished his 46 in the late 1990s and he told me he got stuck up on Mt Marcy for 2 days, thought he wasn't going to make it. Ever since that day he prepped his bag with extra supplies for winter hikes. My winter pack is like 10 lbs heavier than my summer pack.
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Wrights one of the windiest high peaks, the exposed top with no trees feature the highest wind speeds. I was on Cascade in winter and had to hold onto the rock as I would literally blow away if I didn't secure myself. Most insane winds I've ever felt.
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First weenie of the season
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Actually turns to snow at end of run.
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That's a strong lake effect rain event first week of November.
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Average high/low at Buffalo for Nov 1st is 53/38, by Nov 30th its 41/29. Need pretty big departures in beginning of month.
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Our first snowflakes coming during this week I think.
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You need a lot to go right in early November to get LES in the lower elevations but definitely some signals there.
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Have you been up in the high peaks during a snowstorm? Wind speeds above 4K feet on open summits can be well over 100 mph with whiteout conditions. The strongest winds I’ve ever felt were on top of a high peak in February of 2019, had to be 90 mph. You’ll never see snowfall rates in the adk like you’ll see in a strong band off the tug but temps are insanely cold at the summits, and wind speeds are insane. The scariest part is getting stuck up there in a bad storm, many times 7-8 mile walk back to the car.
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Really need some dry weather here to get my fence done.
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It's scary up there in winter weather.
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Rain totals from yesterday
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Quite the outbreak yesterday with no SPC risk
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I'm so sorry bro. My grandpa had dementia for a few years before he passed, it was the saddest thing in the world. It's literally my biggest fear. I'd rather have my body go before my brain did.
