BuffaloWeather
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Average high/low at Buffalo for Nov 1st is 53/38, by Nov 30th its 41/29. Need pretty big departures in beginning of month. -
Our first snowflakes coming during this week I think.
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You need a lot to go right in early November to get LES in the lower elevations but definitely some signals there.
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Have you been up in the high peaks during a snowstorm? Wind speeds above 4K feet on open summits can be well over 100 mph with whiteout conditions. The strongest winds I’ve ever felt were on top of a high peak in February of 2019, had to be 90 mph. You’ll never see snowfall rates in the adk like you’ll see in a strong band off the tug but temps are insanely cold at the summits, and wind speeds are insane. The scariest part is getting stuck up there in a bad storm, many times 7-8 mile walk back to the car.
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Really need some dry weather here to get my fence done.
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It's scary up there in winter weather.
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Rain totals from yesterday
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Quite the outbreak yesterday with no SPC risk
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I'm so sorry bro. My grandpa had dementia for a few years before he passed, it was the saddest thing in the world. It's literally my biggest fear. I'd rather have my body go before my brain did.
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Hooker NY holds the record east of the rockies at 466.9" in 1976-77
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pretty crazy. the rotation in the CC drop I posted above was definitely a TOG too. We've picked up a crapload of rain today, has to be well over an inch.
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Was a small debris ball for a second there
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Tog sw of pitts
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Long range is all over the place, some cold signals out there. Many calling for pattern change around mid Nov.
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I hope you’re right. But that map features a consistent negative pna pattern. Looks like a bad pacific to me.
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That’s a pretty warm map. I would think +2-5 for winter if that map come to fruition.
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How is the northwest always colder then normal now? That’s like 5 straight years…
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It's a different world up there. Winter is Late Sep until early June lol.
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Winter in the adk
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Yeah long range forecasting isnt that accurate, you never know.
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I'm not sure, but the cold pool of water in the gulf of alaska is the last thing you ever want to see right before winter starts.
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Yeah that time period is pretty locked in for warmth I think. Its on all ENS guidance and close enough for somewhat good accuracy
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It may be a rough winter. This is exactly what happened in 2011-2012. Lets hope it doesn't last through winter, it rarely does.
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More sizzle?
