BuffaloWeather

I completed the Adirondack 46 this fall and have hiked them in all seasons. Winter hiking in the high peak region of the Northeast is no joke and you need to plan for weather conditions to turn on a dime. I did one hike in which temps were in the -20-30 range with wind chills in the -40 to -50 range, and my water completely froze halfway up. Mind you everything was insulated. The trail was also unbroken after a decent size snowfall so every step was breaking new trail, it was absolutely brutal. I wanted to turn around a few times but kept trekking through it. 3/4 of the way through the hike it started snowing heavily and whiteout conditions hit out of no where. The weather forecast did not hint at snow like what fell. It was a 20 mile hike and it was the only one out of the 46 where I felt like I shouldn't have been there. I have completed over 15 hikes in the winter up there. I did one hike solo in the winter, but would never recommend going up on these high peaks without a partner. I've seen so many people unprepared for these hikes in all the seasons. You need to watch countless videos on youtube to learn what to bring, how to plan out your trip, and back up options incase your GPS has issues. With temps in that range your phone battery dies so fast, people that use alltrails or other apps can have no navigation if their phone goes down. Here is a picture from that hike about half way up. I've hiked some 10k+ peaks in the west and the northeast hikes were much more difficult for me. The terrain is very rough compared to out west where its smooth.

Going farther into the extended forecast, the system that passes Wednesday night may be the first push at really changing the long wave pattern over North America. As that system`s mid-level reflection pushes toward northern Quebec by the end of the week, a potential Fujiwhara interaction seems set to occur as a sub-490 dam 500 hPa low begins to amble southward from the far northern islands of Nunavut toward the eastern Northwest Territories. GEFS ensemble forecasts for teleconnection patterns offer some suggestion of a pattern change going into December, with the NAO and AO trending negative. All the while cold air will be pooling across much of Canada, so if the high latitude pattern changes do indeed start to influence the mid latitudes, a colder pattern may be on the horizon.

Still 2’ of snow left here, pure glacier. Shocking after temps hit 57 today here.

Full drone video of the aftermath from Saturday

Avalanche occurred at Holimont ski resort, first time ever seeing that. https://unofficialnetworks.com/2022/11/23/avalanche-holimont-new-york/

Lake Erie was at 45 degrees yesterday, 2 degrees below normal. Lake dropped 9 degrees since Weds.

Finally got done uploading all the content to YouTube if you guys want to go check it out. Covered every square foot of that storm, need a nice 10 hour sleep lol https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3LutXF6kA73itxjVZ9h7-w

Check out photo #3, just insane! https://www.instagram.com/p/ClSSQ4hOOY0/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

The recording station changed in 1940 from right along the lakeshore to where it currently is at the Buffalo airport. That has a lot to do with this dataset.

Looks like the crazy model outputs were correct this time!

Awesome data thanks don!

Nov Temps: BUF: +2.4 ROC: +1.6 WAT: +3.1 SYR: +4.7 BING: +3.0

Long range starting to look better, looks slightly above normal for the next week or so.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/11/21/thundersnow-lightning-wind-turbines-newyork/

Here is the full timelapse

@donsutherland1some pics for your website!

I shoveled for about 12 hours to clear my driveway and would consider myself in very good shape. The snowblower did not work at all, just too much snow and too wet.

An epic event!