JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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What caused this to underperform? Or is there still time?
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DCA average high for Christmas is 47, Accuweather's current forecast gives a high of 51 for that day so +4. A torch would be more like today where the high is 62 compared to the average of 50, which is +12.
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No one was, low/mid 50s is not a torch.
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Ah but I counter with the snowstorm of November 2018. First time DCA had measurable snow in November since 1996.
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It's barely a Nina though.
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Oh no we'll miss out on 0.1 inches...
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Imagine we get a huge snow storm on the anniversary of last January’s 80 degree day.
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A few years ago February was +8
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If this verifies I will lose the snowfall contest.
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Imagine if Jan or Feb is AN by double digits...
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You got 4 inches in November.
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Weenies will cling onto anything that will validate their snow fantasies until it either verifies or the rug is pulled. Even if it's a <1% long shot some of them will take it as gospel until 6 hours later and the new run has it completely vanish.
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This current pattern threw a bone to the snow weenies, you have to remember that a month ago a lot of people here announced last rites in regards to winter.
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This is why I think the weenies will be insufferable this year if we bust in a way similar to 22-23 or even 16-17.
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Would precip be accurate that far out? There were quite a few times in the warmer months where there were several inches of rain on those maps over a month in advance only for it to go poof as we got closer.
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That snow map is a month and a half in advance though. Snow forecasts that far out are never accurate.
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If NC can get a dusting in early December then we’ll have to get something here at some point.
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Now that we're getting snow chances it's time to bring this back. I expect many rug pulls this season, despite the current pattern we can't win them all.
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The Seasonal Snowfall Futility Markers
JenkinsJinkies replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like this hasn't been bumped yet. Despite how bad things looked a month ago the tune seems to have changed around here so the futility markers might remain safe again this year. -
I did see some articles during the 2013-2015 period that said that all the snow in the northeast during those seasons was the result of the climate warming out of the "air is too dry to make flakes" range of temperatures that sometimes happened during the cold snaps of years past.
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I’m thinking I’m going to lose the snowfall contest.
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More importantly PSU gets an inch before December 1st.
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Alright then. Based on the map 1” is still possible there but it would be pretty much localized to there.
