griteater

GFS out to 69, it looks like it's going to take a baby step toward more precip

GFS out to 57 - it's bending the heights back to the SW more this run so it should be a little slower with the storm....but it may have trouble sharpening the base of the trough

No way the GFS will come in way amped, but maybe it takes a baby step

You can just click on the map on pivotal weather and get the soundings as the maps come out. Same with the College of Dupage models, but for some reason I was having trouble with the NAM soundings. Tropical Tidbits has it too, but not for the NAM (no idea why) http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=refcmp_ptype&rh=2017120506&fh=78&r=conus&dpdt=

As others have mentioned, the upper jet structure is good here (right entrance region of jet over the northeast)...that should allow for precip to expand back to the west. Models are notorious for being too skimpy on the NW side of Miller A's....should see the precip expand back to the NW with that kind of jet structure

The NAM looks too amped at the base of the trough, but I like a toned down version of this...but with precip getting back into E Tennessee

It's kind of how I've been envisioning this system, but we'll see what the other models say when they come in

NAM = que the Fred Sanford holding the heart pic

Outside of the mountains, quicker is not the trend we want to see from a temperature standpoint

UKMet looks a little faster and slightly less amped to me compared to last run...hard to tell on the precip...detailed maps come out later.

CMC looks a little quicker with the storm this run...has some light snow in north GA to upstate to parts of central, then western NC....not a lot of precip thrown back west into the cold air

Some light snows before precip ends from Raleigh north to Chesapeake

Need to see what the UKMet says for trend clues

Looking like GFS is going to be an eastern scraper again

GFS out to 69 - just minor differences, but it looks a whole like the prior run to this point

GFS out to 45 - western ridge is a little taller

Yeah, that's probably right Thanks, looks nice. Some of the highlights of my life have been going skiing out west

What's really sad is we've got the purdiest little bowling ball traversing the southern stream in a couple of days...how is that staying suppressed with no cold air in the pattern...oh the irony

Cool Burrel, got any ski pics? Flying over central Colorado in winter is pretty sweet....just a vast area of deep white, and snow choked mtns.

^ Brett - your pivotweather pages are awesome! Especially love the soundings with omega on the left hand side! Thanks

All the great southern storms had a DGEX crush job thrown in there

Nothing screams great winter like seeing severe weather threads pop up on the SE page

Some others in addition to what Tyler mentioned: College of Dupage: on any model map image, just click on the map and it will launch a sounding for that time http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ TwisterData: similar to Dupage, just click on the map - http://www.twisterdata.com/ Others for sounding or sounding data: http://www.wxcaster.com/models_text.htm http://vortex.plymouth.edu/myo/fx/raobfx.html http://www.stormchaser.niu.edu/machine/textfcstsound.html For observed soundings (not modeled): http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/