Powerball

And it looks like systems are a go!

A few echos are starting to show up over parts of DFW, albeit nothing impressive-looking for now. Some of CAMs are hinting the streamers coming NNE out of the Hill Country could blow up over the next few hours, but we'll see.

Dry line ia already pretty close to ripping per the visible satellite. There's a nice looking agitated CU field expending down into Big Country.

It's nothing you all aren't used to and it won't be too severe with the higher sun angle, but there is fairly good indication for a significant blast of cold air (by late March standards) next week, with 850mb temps falling to -10*C or lower and the PV Split. Granted, there's still not much snow potential outside the LES snow belts. I won't be up until the week of Easter, so I'm hoping it eases up & moderates by then.

What's really sad is that the 2nd half of March is looking to end up below (even well below) normal, and potentially bring an extended arctic air outbreak. I'll be coming up briefy at the end of March, and was hoping I didn't have to bring the winter coat. Not looking so good on that front right now.

Better to get the overcast stretches out of the way now, before the Solar Eclipse in a few weeks.

Whoops!!! i didn't even realize I made that typo...

With only 3.1", February 2024 will tie for the 19th least snowiest on record for DTW. It will also be the 4th driest with only 0.24: of precipitation.

lol @beavis1729

Energy sector guy?

It probably works the same way when some root for a warm Fall (I.E. October 1963) that others would find miserable.

As mentioned before, this sub's kind of paying the piper for the string of good winters in the late 2000s / early 2010s. Everything has a equilibrium.

My comment was more so focused on the "Winter is over" part of that tweet. They are being flippant and are technically wrong (winter weather can certainly still happen well into March / April as has been pointed out), but I see the validity in the spirit of their statement in recognition of the broader pattern. BTW, 2012 is funny in a way too because as much as folks talk about March, May was also fairly torchy (it just doesn't get discussed as much being that it sat right in the shadows of March) and both months sandwiched an April with a pretty hard freeze for many areas.

Some folks may come along and talk about how there's still March to go through which averages a fair bit of snow or how we always see a cold snap in March/April, but you can't fight the overall trends/signals. The odds of locking in another sustained/long-lasting winter pattern for the remainder of this season are progressively diminishing by the day.

This wekeend will hopefuly be the last freeze of the season, and we can transition into Spring mode.

While Lake Michigan is certainly part of it, to get a GHD 1-type storm to take a favorable track for Detroit to get dumped on, it would also require a deepening low pressure center to move up the spine of the Appalachian Mountains *AND* with an intense TROWAL, which is much more difficult to accomplish thanks to the complications with topography / downsloping.

Although total amounts will still be underwhelming, considering you all managed to get 100% snow when a mix or even straight rain was expected for today's event should definitely count as a good bust.

Indeed to the bolded. I did exactly that myself with respect to severe weather and sunny weather.

Whew!!!

All the Canadian Wildfire Smoke you guys dealt with last year definitely contributed to the cooler daytime highs. I have little doubt DTW sees a max temp this year higher than 90*F.

I think everyone can agree GHD 1 was still a nice storm, just as GHD 2 was a nice storm, their objective flaws aside. Again, just offering a balanced perspective about GHD 2 in particular instead of dogpiling on Stevo.

As long as it's near/above average temp-wise (which it is), I'll take zzzzzzz this time of year over cold & zzzzzzz.

Yeah, now that was definitely an impressive storm by all measures. But as you say, extremely rare and unlikely to be repeated any time soon.

I get it though. It was most certainly memorable in terms of the total amounts, how widespread the 12"+ amounts were, and even duration. But from an observational perspective. I can see how it may have be forgettable if you're one whose preference is for storms with say blizzard conditions, TSSN, 12"+ amount within a short window, etc. EDIT: BTW, just trying to offer a more nuanced take instead of being quick to bash / criticize Stevo about his memory.