Beagles20

I did not go out and measure but we ended up with about 12” or so. Light snow currently.

NWS just issued a winter storm warning for an additional 4-6”.

Just got home here and we have been under that heavy band in Berks County. We probably have about 5 or 6” already. Snowing heavily and fairly large flakes.

I may be barking up the wrong tree here, but while models are depicting more snow (in most cases) than currently forecasted by local and regional mets, the ground is warmer (not frozen) at least in my area along with the marginal temps at the surface. With that, while most of the storm will be snow (as modeled), the models do not take into account the ground temps and only the air temps at the different levels of the surface. Therefore, until areas get into the heavier snow bands, snow may not accumulate as much as models are depicting, hence the lower snow amounts. Is this accurate when it comes to models?

Fox29 is the same except for a large area surrounding the Philly area with 4-6 due to the IVT (banding).

Yeah, I guess your right, but I typically discount when it says that.

Not sure how reliable this model is, but it is the 0z (Hour 30)

However, I just went into Mt. Holly's forecast for my area and they reduced amounts from 3-5 inches to 2-4 now. Tonight Snow likely, mainly after 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 23. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday Snow. High near 28. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Friday Night A chance of snow, mainly before 7pm. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 13. Wind chill values as low as zero. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Agreed! Most of the guidance today/tonight has been 1-2" less than the amounts we are showing. Hopefully they see something that models aren't picking up on. I doubt it, but we can hope anyway.

Oh ok. I remember watching the game kinda ticked off because philly was getting all that snow and we got like 2" or something like that.

Is that the one during the Eagles game?

We have moderate snow right now but the flakes are probably 1.5-2" big right now. Getting into heavier bands right now. I am sure there is some mixing going on here, but the big snowflakes are awesome to see. Good to hear Reading has changed back to snow. Maybe we can hang on for a little while longer.

Got it. Thank you. I did figure out what was meant by the CC. Thanks again for the explanation.

My bad, what is CC?

Not sure how accurate Accuweather's future radar is but the rain/snow line is holding at least until 5:20 PM. Appears to be heavy rates at this time also. Hopeful to stay snow during this timeframe.

We are still holding at 29 degrees, moderate/heavy snow. About 1" on the ground.

I apologize, I am trying to remember with the frontogenesis, does the heavy snows occur below or on the north or south side?

I think they had 6 or 7 crews going to be from say West Virginia up through New York state and I believe further north.

I was looking at that too. Did you watch the loop (1 km Reflectivity with Precip) and the Low pressure is really jumping around (chasing convection?). Hour 26 goes from the coast to maybe 100 miles or so off the coast then back to the coast at hour 27. Then it stall between hour 32-38. Not sure how the low pressure jumping around affects things, but some things I noticed.

Agreed! Happy with 3-6, happier with more, frown with less. Time will tell. At least we get to see some white stuff finally.

I was surprised how long it took them to issue anything for Berks and Lehigh. I guess its a battle zone area at this point on the models anyway. This morning Accuweather went from 3-6 to 1-3 for this area, but earlier went back to the 3-6.

At least you have something. Mt. Holly hasn't issued even a WWA for Berks or Lehigh County yet. Like Lancaster, Berks and Lehigh may be a battle ground to get anything more than a WWA.

It definitely wasn't digital snow back in 1950. Remember, our parents used to walk to school, uphill in the snow. Well, at least that is what I was told. Haha.