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Violentweatherfan

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Everything posted by Violentweatherfan

  1. Violentweatherfan
    Probably referring to the impending ice storm freezing rain mess that is about to hit the MA area
  2. Violentweatherfan
    NYC forum posted this
  3. Violentweatherfan
    Anyone remember a SWFE with redevelopment off the coast? PPDII is as close as you are gonna get but there was no coastal redevelopment
  4. Violentweatherfan
    Per WPC the northern shift could be a mirage. Due to the intensity of the phasing of the northern jet and the sub tropical jet. WPC is confident that the interaction between streams is slightly over amplified and the trend won’t be so northern and will adjust with better sampling as the week progresses
  5. Violentweatherfan
    It can happen, PDII had mixing issues. Actually cut accumulations by a couple of inches
  6. Violentweatherfan
    Temps are all over the place. On the way home from work my temperature reading in my vehicle bounced around several times by 3°
  7. Violentweatherfan
    Yeah, when I posted that I saw what 6° then it dropped to five and then I looked at Langhorne and they were at 9°. Maybe a different station.
  8. Violentweatherfan
    I know all of our focus has been on tracking this event, but does everyone realize it’s only 5 degrees outside right now
  9. Violentweatherfan
    Nice to see you stop by Roger
  10. Violentweatherfan
    Actually weak La Niña winters are great for big winter snows
  11. Violentweatherfan
    I think the GFS is what it is because of how it’s handling the cold air. Therefore suppressed, how often do these super cold temps verify. Rarely, so I think the GFS will come north
  12. Violentweatherfan
    Wanted feedback, it’s all good
  13. Violentweatherfan
    How is this for a title, SWFE[southwest flow event] or WHIFF event January 24/24 2026
  14. Violentweatherfan
    I think it’s time for a thread, I’ll start it once I think of a nice title
  15. Violentweatherfan
    I-95 dry slotted in 2016 as well. Lost quite a bit of accumulation
  16. Violentweatherfan
    Can you check the Skew T and see what the temps are for the Dendritic Growth Zone. From what I understand too cold can impact accumulation
  17. Violentweatherfan
    This would be an overrunning event, as of now there doesn’t appear to be any redevelopment off the coast. Most Miller B storms are from clippers that redeveloped off the Carolinas. The concern is the cold air mass will keep the moisture flow south. Storms follow the path of least resistance. I do believe the cold is overdone and the models are keeping most of the precip south of us
  18. Violentweatherfan
    I the cold is overdone and the model runs today are reacting to it
  19. Violentweatherfan
    It’s only Monday, I like the set up. We’re getting snow, it will only be a matter of how much
  20. Violentweatherfan
    Maybe we should make a thread, all other sub forums did
  21. Violentweatherfan
    PDII was forecast to be a hit by five days out. Anyway, the MJO will be moving into phase 7 and the NAO will be somewhat negative. I don’t see any blocking. I’d like to see the the cold air mass dig a little deeper and we’d be in business
  22. Violentweatherfan
    MJO is moving into a more favorable phase 7/8 which also is good for significant snowstorms
  23. Violentweatherfan
    The MJO will be in a more favorable phase by then
  24. Violentweatherfan
    Also the MJO will be in phase 6 which does not favor snow for the east coast
  25. Violentweatherfan
    MJO forecast was forecast for this time period to be in phase six, and is. It won’t be any where near phase eight until the end of this month
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