Bob Chill

Rodney, what happens to the data if you exclude Jan? Also, where does this year as a whole place since 1980? TIA!

You're ok and all Ian but right now I hope you drop your phone, ipad, and pc into the reflecting pool

Maybe Ian can use his royalty check to buy a snow making machine on a trailer. I have a good towing truck. I'll start with my yard and you guys can draw cards for who gets it next.

It was posted on 12/1/2013. Makes it easier to find when it becomes relevant.

I might have already posted this in the thread but I've ran this little loop a 100 times or more and it always makes me smile. I have a large version but the file is too big to post.

I think our fate will lie more with the state of the ao/nao vs enso. Even nino's following multi-year ninas don't show alot of promise. Nothing terrible or anything but not exciting either. There is absolutely not reason to think we can't have negative ao/nao biased winter next year but there will prob be little indication of what's going to happen until thanksgiving.

I agree alot with this. Cycles within cycles are predictable to some extent. 2009 was a much colder than normal year in the areas that are seeing extreme warmth (northern plains). It was colder than normal here too. Especially during the summer & winter. It's interesting when you start looking at anomalies for entire years. It's hard to get big annual anoms closer to the coasts. Oceans are big temp equalizers. There a decent argument for a sucky winter next year for alot of reasons. Doubtful that it will be as sucky as this past one though. We got overwhelmed by the anti-block and uncooperative ao. And there is also a decent argument for a cooler than normal year overall in 13-14 with a decent winter. We'll see though. IF we had a cold winter next year it wouldn't shock me at all but it does look like we have to get lucky for that to happen.

Good work with the stats. I'd be interested how locations removed from urban heat islands stack up with the same stats. Breaking warmth records seems easy in DC nowadays but I wonder if the data is skewed a bit by the heat island effect.

This is one of my favorite loops. I have a larger 5.7mb high res file but it is too big to post. The propagating bands are too cool. It might be a little while but I can't wait to see another one like this.

Multiple earthquakes and a big azz hurricane rolling our way. I guess this is all a prelude to the end of the world in Dec 2012.

It caused more commotion than anything else. We have almost no seismic along the east coast. A 7.0 would level buildings because our codes don't require buildings to be earthquake resistant. Saying we can't handle it isn't really a fair statement. Atlanta can't handle a heavy snowfall and Chicago can't handle a serious heatwave. But they have no problem the other way around.

Any reports of tsunamis on Lake Anna?

I like earthquakes at lot better than snowstorms and hurricanes. I didn't have to agonize over 50 models runs just to be worn out and disappointed. Earthquakes just happen. That shizzle is cool.

Alexandria here. In the basement of my friends 4 story house. Holy F! Scared the hell out of me. I ran out the damn front door. Rocking and a rolling. The one we had some months back was nothing like this one. Damn!

Most memorable storm of my life because one of my best friends was getting married and couldn't cancel. I ended up having to drive him and a packed truckload of crap from Rockville to Columbia. Started the drive @ noon and got to the hotel @ 3. I have never in my life driven in such bad conditions. My suburban handled it like an absolute champ. 495 and 95 were a complete free for all. It snowed its eyeballs out the entire trip and there was 12-18 of snow on the interstate by the time I got on 95. I weaved around so many stranded people that it was ridiculous. There were so many cars stuck that it was surreal. I plowed through every obstacle and got the groom there with enough time to relax before his big day. Honestly, I had a blast driving and loved every minute of it. Then I was treated like a celebrity the whole night at the wedding. Great storm!

This was grabbed on Wed the 3rd. It shows the moisture connection all the way past HI. I remember really getting excited that this storm is going to be BIG.