The navgem and 557ww model have been all snow since the get. Little known but the most consistent modeling so far. They both show all levels at or below freezing for the duration of the event. Good to see ukie joined them after being in the warm camp.
No model has it right,too many moving pieces rn. And the primary won't be as strong as modeled,and the suppression is undermodeled imo. What will happen is a major battle with cold air and the warmer air trying to fight back,creating intense precip and frontogenesis. Everything down south is runner colder atm as well.
Huge Black spots on the sun with coronal ejections have actually impacted our weather globally. Cold and snow have been wide spread in areas that barely see cold and snow. Also the discussion of the overdue "little ice age" are being heard again. Not saying we are entering a period of global cooling but.. it's a little overdue.
Ive seen storms here literally cut in half,raining in soundview,the bx,snowing in Riverdale,the bx. This storm might be one of those. Southern parts of the city a bit diff then northern manhattan,the bronx.
Talking about waters that are cold,even with a southerly wind, temps dont rise as fast due to cooler waters. It would have been in the mid 50's today if this was late nov early dec. Just saying.
Yep,its still expanding but you see it. The models won't tell you exact placement of bands,so some places might be higher then others. Just dont wanna be caught in the subsidence.