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Bxstormwatcher360

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Everything posted by Bxstormwatcher360

  1. Bxstormwatcher360
    None taken..it is a general rule but not exactly what happens. But it is basic info for the newbies . Lol
  2. Bxstormwatcher360
    Which is why I mentioned,winds and upper air conditions. Surface temps are not exclusive to exact ratios anyway. If it feels like sand then there was some warmer air intrusion somewhere.
  3. Bxstormwatcher360
    Ratio chart. Onset liquid equivalent to snow is going to be bonkers. Other factors may slightly differ in ratios itself such as winds and upper air conditions.
  4. Bxstormwatcher360
    10/-8f mostly cloudy now. It's def incoming.
  5. Bxstormwatcher360
    Ill be here waiting on it.. trust me it might be epic around these parts if it never mixes. At the rates/ratios. It might be crazy for a while.
  6. Bxstormwatcher360
    Ive been rooting for the 557ww model. Last 3 days it has kept most of nyc snow along with the navgem models.
  7. Bxstormwatcher360
    My temp is running a degree cooler then progged rn,not much cloud cover so the temps are still dropping. 12/-9f currently.
  8. Bxstormwatcher360
    Boogie down here.
  9. Bxstormwatcher360
    Yep all areas mentioned are part of the nw bronx. Cooler areas with coastal elevation involved. We change last in every borderline storm.
  10. Bxstormwatcher360
    Im sticking to 10+ inches for the bronx. fieldston,riverdale,kingsbridge and norwood get a wee bit more.
  11. Bxstormwatcher360
    A 20 to 40 mile jog se is still possible. Things are trending better as the models finally pick up the cold suppression. All layers can warm up but against a solid cold dome,its gonna be tough going warming up any level ..925,700,850 for my location atleast doesn't reach 32f/0c.
  12. Bxstormwatcher360
    I remember that model from the early 2000's,it indeed had the highest score verification at that time. But it's good to know that its still going strong.
  13. Bxstormwatcher360
    I miss the good ol nippon (jma) model. It was fairly good back in the day as well.
  14. Bxstormwatcher360
    Trends are our friends. It is indeed running colder then modeled.well for nam atleast.
  15. Bxstormwatcher360
    The navgem and 557ww model have been all snow since the get. Little known but the most consistent modeling so far. They both show all levels at or below freezing for the duration of the event. Good to see ukie joined them after being in the warm camp.
  16. Bxstormwatcher360
    Because it is cold out. The rap and ukie have the same idea rn,which is also my thoughts as well. It's gonna snow ALOT!!
  17. Bxstormwatcher360
    No model has it right,too many moving pieces rn. And the primary won't be as strong as modeled,and the suppression is undermodeled imo. What will happen is a major battle with cold air and the warmer air trying to fight back,creating intense precip and frontogenesis. Everything down south is runner colder atm as well.
  18. Bxstormwatcher360
    Being in the nw bronx,prime seats for the thump. 10+ is a 80% lock atm. Ill gladly take the over again..
  19. Bxstormwatcher360
    Huge Black spots on the sun with coronal ejections have actually impacted our weather globally. Cold and snow have been wide spread in areas that barely see cold and snow. Also the discussion of the overdue "little ice age" are being heard again. Not saying we are entering a period of global cooling but.. it's a little overdue.
  20. Bxstormwatcher360
    Rgem..557mm..navgem..ec (aifs) models are all snow as of now!..the gfs has been the leader of the pack so far for globals.
  21. Bxstormwatcher360
    All that and my house is still in the blue snow,so is upper manhattan. The type of storm that cuts along i-95/north snow..south/ice.
  22. Bxstormwatcher360
    We all pick our poison. Js.
  23. Bxstormwatcher360
    Ive seen storms here literally cut in half,raining in soundview,the bx,snowing in Riverdale,the bx. This storm might be one of those. Southern parts of the city a bit diff then northern manhattan,the bronx.
  24. Bxstormwatcher360
    Talking about waters that are cold,even with a southerly wind, temps dont rise as fast due to cooler waters. It would have been in the mid 50's today if this was late nov early dec. Just saying.
  25. Bxstormwatcher360
    The most gorgeous pink skies out rn..nature's heads up!!. It's def coming guys.
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