vegan_edible

poof

3 years with no huge storms have some folks in a full-on delusional state

yeah... on to 00Z:) also isn't the 18z GFS run off the same set of data as 12z? so we shouldn't be TOO surprised this run sucked since well, 12z also sucked. we'll all be here at approximately 11:15pm. bring snacks

im not gonna bet on the icon to pull through for us, but man am i hoping it does. ive had a particularly shitty fucking week. wednesday marks two years since my mother completely unexpectedly passed away, and im headed to albany to be with my family for the holidays. christmas is so magical to me, could really use even the smallest storm to help decompress from all the things im feeling. sorry for venting it out, coming here from the nyc forum bc albany is probably closer to your climate than nyc's y'all are pretty cool over here btw

lets just have this be the final solution and we can all be happy. the end

gfs said this to the potential winter storm

if jerz gets that much snow that would be ridiculous. im gonna be upstate in albs for the holidays so im kinda (selfishly) praying the low ticks north by about 200 miles... but regardless, total weenie mode activated

put some nice hot mustard on that dog

lets just lock in that op euro run and call it a day lmao

if we (nyc metro/EC in general) get some good rounds of snow between now and mid february i'll be a happy camper. once march comes around i want blowtorch high pressure sunny 68 degrees everyday... so in this instance i hope you're correct hahaha

long range OP gfs doesn't look like a total torch outside of monday-wednesday of this week. doubt we see any real snowfall chances but im surprised temps are looking to hover around the high 30's to low 40's, which is definitely different than the forecasted near 50 everyday until after december 20th. obviously the ensembles will be more telling but its still encouraging to see

dont want to jump the gun here, but somethings telling me this winter might be singing the tune of the last 2 (at least in the nyc metro). really hoping for a turnaround for the holiday week, but we've been fooled before. i'd be very surprised to see a pattern turn around soon, i know theres been some discourse on the integrity of the dynamical mjo plots but im struggling to see how we're gonna get to 8/1/2 soon

sticking to grass and cars here

snowing in white plains:)

on gawd

op euro has been claiming this long range cool down for a few runs

really hoping this is an mjo driven wave while it goes through the warm phases and we can get something happening once it hits 7. however, we've been fooled before, and lets all hope it doesn't die out in the COD and repopulate in 4 creating a neverending feedback loop of january highs of 43 degrees

bruh

no disrespect man but @bluewavehas a wealth of knowledge to share and i would not say his responses are cherry picked

for real, i mean the models are having an incredibly difficult time keeping up with things. around mid november the beginning of december was screaming torch, but here we are. ultimately i think most things will moderate out in the long run, warm/cold/warm/cold. its just the nature of living here. obviously none of us know exactly what the winter has in store, but actually having winter type cold in the beginning of december sets a more hopeful tone for this season than years past. also the differences between the EPS and GEFS are so staggering i cant make sense of what will happen, so hopefully we can keep our fingers crossed. im hoping for a wintery feeling holiday week

im always tweaking

so is this about the point where we all start tweaking out or should we give it another week?

but the operational models are saying it might be warm 16 days from now!

best reply award

287 gang is ready at the homestead