BaltimoreWxGuy

15 minutes ago, H2O said:

I was hoping this would drag into Sat morning as I have to be out on a boat for dumb rowing people that need to set up their race course.  I want them to cancel.  As of now, my dumb ass will be out on a boat....in the damp cold.....hoping I don't fall into cold ass water.

You’re on a boat, don’t you ever forget 

37 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

38/20

Wrong thread. Drunk?

4 minutes ago, attml said:

Yep - definitely snow coning down!  https://chart.maryland.gov/video/video.php?feed=1800a05f00a100ab0050fa36c4235c0a

Looks like it’s stopped lol

GEFS?, disappointed in this group. Guess I’ll have to stop being lazy and check for myself 

Just now, jayyy said:

Planning for a 2-4” inch event here in Howard county. Looks like a good bet for most of central Maryland up through the pa line. Dc is likely 1-2”. Montgomery county into NoVa is a wild card IMO... could easily see 1-2 or 2-4” depending on how that band sets up. 

I understand a lot of guidance says that but I would honestly lean 1-2” thru your area into Baltimore...2-3” north of us. 

Yeah not sure it’s that much better for DC but it is for Baltimore. 3-5am looks like a good snow band on the Baltimore and north area 

Just now, Weather Will said:

Are the models already completely accounting for the low blowing up off of the coast on Saturday in terms of where the next low will track?  I guess what I am asking is what factors can shift the low to track another 50 miles south from West to east (arctic high pressing more, slightly stronger Sat coastal low?)

Just a weaker less amped storm I suppose? Faster northern stream push...

Henry Marguisitys old rule of thumb for Baltimore was if St Louis gets a good snow then Baltimore does too lol. Obviously that’s flawed some. But it does look like they’ll get 4-8 from this 

Just now, BristowWx said:

I guess it is only Thursday..there is a speck of time for a Sunday even...hell tonight/tomorrow has changed a bit every run...by 18z it will be a subtropical low from the south

This one is a classic track and storm that develops for someone in the Mid ATL to get 4-8”. Its how most of our area gets 4-8” snow storms. It just depends on track. As PSU I think said, If it’s along VA/NC border, we all cash in on 4-8” if it’s southern Chesapeake then it’s a north and west forum snow. If it tracks over us then snow is up in Central PA. It’s literally all about the track, it’s clear cut. No cold air damning to look at or other crap

Just now, WVclimo said:

That sounds pretty good for here.

It would seem to be a nice hit for Martinsburg to Hagerstown

The euro is definitely better but we need more. Low tracks over the southern Chesapeake. Mid 30s and cold rain for many of us but it’s closer. 

Just now, SnowGolfBro said:

Definitely rooting for you to get snow. You are definitely in the game. I’m not even in the stadium lol 

Honestly it feels like I’m just in the stadium getting drunk watching a terrible team (the orioles will be this year). I’m kind of annoyed with all these little storms. To not get a solid all snow/cold smoke 6’incher is disappointing in a winter where we expected a bit more. I understand that some people to my west/southwest have done pretty well but I really haven’t outside of 2 storms and even those 2 weren’t THAT great. Oh well

4 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:

I was looking out at the precip in the western Kentucky area.  Sounds like I’m wrong so i can go back to full weenie mode.  

I mean I agree that the focus is north of DC and maybe even a bit north of Baltimore but I think here in Baltimore I’ll see a little more than just a snow shower...my bar is 1”

8 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:

If u look at the current radar you can see that the precip may even end up further north than what the Euro is depicting.  I’m the biggest weenie there is but i think South of the MD/PA line will be lucky to see a snow shower or two. Hope I’m wrong of course.

I’m not sure how you come to that conclusion...the area of precip that will be mainly effecting us hasn’t even developed yet 

48 minutes ago, baltimoreguy said:

So I'm driving out of North Baltimore tomorrow morning to Boston. Need to be there by 3:30 p.m., preferably earlier. It usually takes about 6.5 hours, so I was thinking I'd just hit the road at 6 a.m., so that the sun's almost up, and I'd deal with any snow that I hit before it dissipates somewhere in New Jersey. Think that's still a viable plan? Kind of starting to wonder if I should wait until 8 or 9, and let the snow end before setting out. I have all-wheel drive.

I would imagine that I95 won’t get in too bad of shape. Especially having all wheel. I say go for it. Just drive carefully 

GFS not as impressive. Maybe it’s just noise but definitely less QPF in Maryland 

6 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Who doesn’t!? But the HRDerps...

The NAM actually sucks lol better hope it doesn’t verify. The snow depth map is meager 

How did the NAM become the least aggressive model now and the GfS one of the most aggressive lol. 

Just now, jaydreb said:

NAM is enough to cause school and possibly OPM delays.  

NAM is enough to cause a closure for many lol

Such a little baby storm but IF I get the NAMs depiction, id consider it my 2nd best storm lol...3 hours of heavy snow and 2-3” lol

4am panel on NAM sure is impressive. It’s basically advertising a couple inches in just a couple hours 

29 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

Maps are improving in the make or break Mar 5-10 period. Can you smell what the Rog is cooking? 

You wear these while you grill?

NAM is a bit less precip but yeah it’s stil a solid run for us to see 1-2”

3 minutes ago, mappy said:

any warm layer in the euro?

Not that I can tell..700 and 925 are plenty cold but perhaps someone better than me can chime in

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

La la lock that ish up! HoCo jackpot!

BWI is the total jackpot