BaltimoreWxGuy

NAM looking juicy at 84...should be pretty much in range by tomorrow morning

EPS cutback some which is to be expected considering overnight trends but still shows 5” for DC and 4” for Baltimore. Can’t complain about that. I’ll set my happiness bar at 3”. If I can get 3” it’ll be my 2nd biggest storm 

It looks like the majority of GFS ensembles support a thump of snow but vary pretty greatly on what extent, there’s a few that are definitely 6+ so I guess there’s hope 

Canadian looks ok 

2 minutes ago, 87storms said:

icon snow maps look a lot better than the setup.  it's basically a cutter, so we'll need to hope the airmass in place is legit.

It seems like a weird depiction for the set up but it’s got support from last nights Euro right?

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Well, if there is any consolation, the Atari-FV3 is a hit.

Seems like it often over models northeastern confluence and wintry weather east of low pressure systems. Not sure it’s look makes sense given the players on the field. This is really what’s taking over for the GFS soon? We’re in trouble. 

We’ve never got NAM’ed. You know that’s not a good sign. I’m putting a fork in this up here in Baltimore 

Still a lot of time but GFS is going backwards. Looks like a big ol rainstorm incoming 

Well the Canadian is on our side...DC-north 2-4

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

GFS is basically identical but 50 miles south. That’s good agreement at 72hrs.

I’m sure you’d agree, but it may be good agreement but with this small-ish storm with such a narrow stripe of snow, those are still big differences to try to make a forecast on lol

Did I miss GEFS analysis? What it do.

Just now, Bob Chill said:

When they upgraded the gfs to higher resolution is takes bodies of water into account but often too much. That's why you'll often see a big hole around the Chesapeake.

True I just thought it was funny considering he said must be over 21 lol

46 minutes ago, frd said:

 

Must be over 21 to view this :  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

My what a nice hole up on north Long Island there...

9 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

You are not in a good spot for this one.

I know lol but it seems like I’m never in a good spot 

Looks to be lifting north to me...break for a while? It’s basically dry in Dundalk. Not that icy either 

Just now, Steve25 said:

I agree, but if it's raining and the temperature is below freezing it's still considered freezing rain lol. Just because it's not glazing all surfaces doesn't change that. It can snow and not accumulate. That doesn't mean it's not snowing lol. The original reason for my comment was to say that I think some people think freezing rain means literally frozen rain, like ice pellets, which is just not true. 

Yeah a lot of people get freezing rain and sleet mixed up. 

5 minutes ago, Steve25 said:

Trying to explain freezing rain to someone that just doesn't get it. They walked outside and said "It's just rain..."

 

I tried explaining that freezing rain is just regular rain that falls into surface temperatures below freezing and creates a glaze of ice on cold surfaces. Then they pointed at a puddle in the street and said it's not frozen. I tried to explain that the pavement stays warmer than surfaces like railings, tree limbs, power lines etc. They went on to argue that if it's not freezing to the street then it's just regular rain. I gave up lol. 

Who really cares if it’s not freezing on the pavement though, just my opinion. I don’t care I the trees are getting a little ice or the railing lol

4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Houses can be bought and sold Chris, come on lol. Leave Dundalk like I did and find your way to the snowy promise lands. 

Lol I got a federal first time home buyers grant. I’m locked in for 5 years whether I like it or not 

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

You need to move out of the city and get some elevation.  You're in a bad spot for snow.

I’m in 30 year mortgage. Snow is gonna have to find a way to come to me. I promise I won’t feed it thru the snowblower 

5 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Nice to see the northern crew cash in.  Evens out the forum now.  

Yeah not for me lol

3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

It seems rates are the key here. Anything beyond light is snow. The lulls are a mix

2 minutes ago, Rhode Islander in Balto said:

All snow now in Parkville 2 miles west of 95.

Painful to hear that just a few miles to my NNW is receiving snow and nada here in the Dalk

Another dud for East Baltimore county. Under 1” of snow, got a bit of sleet and feeezing rain but nothing wild. Mostly plain rain now. 

I would say just under 1” overnight in Dundalk here. Now sleet/freezing rain. Roads don’t seem too bad but of course my friends describe them as being “terrible”. Yeah it’s Baltimore, the roads are terrible on a good day 

4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

An inch and if we can really hold the mix line off until 4am, might eke out another inch. Gorgeous here.

Looks like a lack of precipitation to the west to me...

Radar actually looks juicy to the west. Probably weenieism though