Yardstickgozinya

Scattered thunderstorm development will be possible along/ahead of the front from the Carolinas/Mid Atlantic into New England during the afternoon. Wind fields will generally be stronger with northward extent. Depending on the extent of destabilization, supercells and organized clusters will be possible across parts of New England and perhaps the northern Mid Atlantic, which would pose some threat of all severe hazards. Farther south into the southern Mid Atlantic and Carolinas, deep-layer shear will be weaker, but favorable low-level moisture, strong buoyancy, and modest midlevel southwesterlies will support outflow-driven clusters capable of damaging winds and possibly some hail. The organized severe threat will tend to decrease with southwestward extent, due to weaker deep-layer flow. However, favorable low-level moisture and buoyancy could support a few strong to locally severe storms along the trailing cold front into parts of the Southeast during the late afternoon and evening

Sorry if you're already aware of this . I didn't stop by the forum yesterday, but for future reference, I would ask the guys at the MA thread . I have seen guys post forcast soundings from pivotal. The LcL should be already plotted and easily visible.

Schrodinger's cat to Satan's Grundle. You're quite the enlightened bartender.

Day 5 Thursday The mid-level trough is forecast to move into the lower Great Lakes and upper Ohio Valley on Thursday, as the cold front advances into the central Appalachians. As the airmass ahead of the front destabilizes, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form along and ahead of the front. The models suggest that moderate deep-layer shear will be in place across much of the northeastern U.S., which will likely support organized storms. Damaging winds gusts will be the most likely severe threat.

Maybe one of you northern readers will get lucky.

We are monitoring a possible increase in severe storm probs for Thursday afternoon and evening; we spoke with the SPC concerning a categorical upgrade to MRGL (level 1) severe storm risk. The last 2 runs of the HREF indicate moderate destablization overlapping with favorable deep layer shear on the southern periphery of stronger west-northwest flow aloft. Limiting factors at this stage include displacement of best lift (well to the north) and weak convergence along the southward moving cold front - which reduces confidence to some extent. We would anticipate at least a MRGL risk on day 1 if a stronger signal for robust development emerges with time. PWATs continue to trend higher into Friday ~1.5" with a good signal for scattered showers and storms particularly across south central PA into the Susquehanna Valley. Cloud cover and weak low passing by to the southeast could limit instability over most of the area with the synoptic setup favoring some locally heavy/slow moving downpours. Cloudy and foggy conditions expected Friday night with some scattered rain showers hanging around into Saturday morning.

Carful York and Lancaster

It's never to late for rice and cranberries according to TCC.

How bout that one Jns lol big booms

Not alot of strokes but they counted lol.

I was up for it. Almost every stroke was a ground stroke on storm one around 2:00

The cell that formed just to the west of Hanover and just went through Lewisberry looked to be a possible super cell on radar.

Is definitely getting feisty out there. Nasty cell a few clicks to my south dropping powerful ground strokes atm.

I'm starting to see some enhanced thermodynamic fields building and expanding, Especially over north central Pa.

Nws mentioned the possibility of discrete cells forming ahead the main show and that appears to be happening. Tonight will be rocking for most of us.

I remember this. The weeks of clouds drizzle and rain was the supposed cause for a steep rise in suicide rate in cpa that month.

Taken from the fairview township Rutters.

Bad weather man smart landscaper .lol

Now that I have had a moment to look up maybe not , off to the radar. Lol

Perfect weather as far as I'm concerned today.

I try not to take up half a page with explanations anymore. I figured everyone would understand why I post the lightning maps . Maybe some guys don't even know that they are lightning maps, I really don't know ? I post them because they seem to be a somewhat decent tool for many things both before and after storms. The idea of the one I posted Thurs night fri morning was to say hey fellows look at where all this lightning is heading over the last 24hours. It's not a perfect tool just something easy to help me get my own ideas.

Lightningmaps.org , It's a pain in the butt with adds lol.

The purple time stroke dots show the cell getting its act together and pretty well illustrate its hard right turn up by Penn State and again above Harrisburg. It appears to lose some energy over @Blizzard of 93 before another pulse over The Harrisburg area , then most likely collapsing and resulting in the minor wind reports and heavy rains over the area by the looks of the lightning map.