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Winterweatherlover

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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover

  1. Winterweatherlover
    The NAM/HRRR still say this is far from over for NYC and points NE, hope that stuff from Central NYS is coming.
  2. Winterweatherlover
    Snowing pretty hard out right now. Probably the heaviest its been all storm.
  3. Winterweatherlover
    Yes the biggest problem hasn't been the sleet mixing but more so the crappy rates/ratios (I'm talking NE of CNJ).
  4. Winterweatherlover
    The storm earlier this month was way better than this so far.
  5. Winterweatherlover
    It's disappointing given what many models were showing and what NWS predicted but at the end of the day a primary tracking into the midwest is usually not a formula for significant snow in NYC. Fortunate in a way to get an all frozen event out of this setup.
  6. Winterweatherlover
    He said compared to the city which I agree. The northern suburbs generally do better than NYC/LI but LI def does better than NYC in most events.
  7. Winterweatherlover
    sleet/snow mix in southern Yonkers
  8. Winterweatherlover
    I'd expect most of NYC to still reach 3 inches.
  9. Winterweatherlover
    Snow finally seems to be picking up in southern Yonkers.
  10. Winterweatherlover
    Where?
  11. Winterweatherlover
    Stony Brook is a great spot to be in for a setup like this.
  12. Winterweatherlover
    Sleet already in Brooklyn? NYC probably busting low unless rates increase fast.
  13. Winterweatherlover
    I know it's still early in the storm but agree leaning lower end of totals for the five boroughs and even lower Westchester. The banding upper westchester through LI seems to be creating a lot of subsidence.
  14. Winterweatherlover
    Very light snow in southern Yonkers.
  15. Winterweatherlover
    Must be subsidence due to banding north and south of there but agree one inch is ridiculous.
  16. Winterweatherlover
    This is the worst case scenario, it's unlikely but it's been right with warm tounges before. Honestly im more worried about mixing in the in NYC and even the LHV than eastern LI in this setup so the NAM scenario wouldnt entirely shock me.
  17. Winterweatherlover
    One factor in the citys favor here is it's cold before the storm and below freezing throughout the whole storm. I don't think CPK is getting 8 but its not a particularly bad setup for accumulation in the boroughs, the real question is rates and if and when it flips to sleet.
  18. Winterweatherlover
    True I meant from NYC and points north. Central NJ could have a brutal cutoff.
  19. Winterweatherlover
    This storm setup has always favored places like Eastern LI especially the north shore of Suffolk given the sleet line coming from the SW usually creeps a bit more NE than modeled.
  20. Winterweatherlover
    Oh definitely if we are talking 8+ I agree and I agree with your general line although possibly even a bit further NE of there. This just won't be a scenario where someone gets 8 and 50 miles away gets almost nothing.
  21. Winterweatherlover
    Not sure it'll be that sharp in this setup. I think everyone forum wide at least from NYC north is seeing 3+.
  22. Winterweatherlover
    I'd still go 3-6 for the city and 6-9 for all northern suburbs and north shore LI personally but it's a tricky forecast, upton seems to be discounting the Euro/NAM.
  23. Winterweatherlover
    When was the last time NYC had 4? hard to believe its been that long and wondering if they measuring right. I know its a bit different where I am at the top of the Bronx but have had at least 3 events in the last 3 years over 4 inches including one already this year.
  24. Winterweatherlover
    I can't guarantee 10 anywhere but they'll be a nice band somewhere and ratios should be very good with this one.
  25. Winterweatherlover
    Euro often too dry in these scenarios I think.
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