SnoSki14

There's definitely warm days ahead but with cold ssts in the northwest Atlantic and residual blocking, wouldn't be surprised to see backdooring well into May. 

55 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said:

The same way you complain when it's 70s and 80s.

People like different weather. To some (alot) 50s are chilly. 

It was in the 60s today 

4 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

This weather stinks 

It's in the 60s and sunny aka normal April weather.

It's not like it's a dreary multi day onshore flow event with temps in the 40s and 50s. 

The weather is beautiful and will be in the 70s soon.

36F this morning, chilly but we still get 30s into May some days. 

Today is perfect. Yesterday was too warm

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Closer to 70°.

I'll take that over 80. Too early for that type of warmth. 

Wait another month to early June

4 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Not hard to do now, we have a late August sun overhead

We had 80 in February and mid 90s in April. This is child's play. 

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

2010 was amazing with a west to northwesterly flow for most of the summer.

dry and hot, low humidity and no flooding rains.

 

That won't happen again 

45 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

There was a study that once suggested that it would be capable of a Magnitude 6 or 7 earthquake.

That's terrifying if true.

What's the strongest capable earthquake on the Ramapo fault. I can't imagine anything beyond a 5.5

First time I ever felt a quake. It was a quick jolt with rumbling... bizarre experience for sure.

20 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The Euro seasonal just updated and it has a very wet summer into fall near the East Coast with a very active hurricane season. 
 

 

 

Ominous look for sure. Looks like more 100-500 year flood records are going to be broken. 

Doesn't help that we're already so wet. A dry period now would help.

All this rain with an extremely active hurricane season on the horizon...buckle up

3 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

Not surprised, two weeks ago I posted a sustained warm pattern would wait until mid April. Hope that doesn’t get pushed off further, as this isn’t great spring weather currently. 

Probably doesn't help that ssts are relatively cool to our east. 

Getting slammed right now with windswept heavy rains 

1 hour ago, qg_omega said:

Not understanding the HWW

Strong easterly jet ahead of secondary. Powerful winds near inversion.

What's not to get

12 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s an unusual sounding for this area since we usually doesn’t see an inversion with such a strong easterly jet below the inversion level with this much MUCAPE. 

 

So what does this imply?

39 minutes ago, chubbs said:

March was another record monthly anomaly on UAH. The temperature spike during this nino is unusually large in UAH, as large or larger than 97-98 judging by the 13-month running mean, which will continue to increase for a few months. Measurement inconsistency through the years likely contributing. Top 5 March's in UAH below:

1 2024 0.95
2 2016 0.65
3 2010 0.38
4 2020 0.35
5 1998 0.34

So funny this was the tool climate change deniers kept using as evidence of no warming and now it blew through those metrics

So now they're pivoting to other explanations like JB with his underwater volcanoes

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Damn no one knows what today is 

C'mon that was barely trying 

The SE ridging will basically help trap this cutoff for days. We'll probably get 2-3" easy out of this.

Models have a strong secondary inland now that's trying to mix a strong LLJ down.

But inversion would make it tough to get strong winds

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Geez...GEM is even further south.

Not backing down. Do you think it has a clue?

For God's sake that thing even gives my region in Jersey 6-10" of tree crushing snows. 

So is the CMC on crack or what?

13 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

It’s seems like every time we expect a big hurricane season it fails…

 

I think we should pump the breaks on some of these predictions 

Agreed but it's hard to deny what's going on. 

Looks like another 2" of rain on tap. Luckily it's spread out but it won't help. 

Drier pattern hopefully coming after this wet stretch.