RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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So...no chance. Zero.
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50-100 miles is certainly within the error envelope at d3.5. Hell, the great Euro was off by 50-100 miles in Jan 15 and Jan 16 inside d2. Just saying...for se zones...they could still sneak a decent event out of this.
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I’m in your camp btw but I know this is a conversation that takes on a life of it’s own. Back to Inverted weenies...
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Got dang rabbit hole...can’t find our way out.
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Oh no...down the rabbit hole again.
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If it happens overnight, we could grab a couple.
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Accuweather had a big headline on msn about the northeast breaking the snow drought with a huge coastal lol. Never fails. We usually disagree on such topics but I agree with you here that this deserved zero headlines.
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It could tick back a bit. Big event is gone but advisory scraps are still on the table...they’re just at the edges and about to fall off.
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Yea. You guys can still get clipped. Fade the noisy agendas.
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One track mind.
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Need a turnaround today as the N Stream comes onshore tonight. Unlikely but...
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Don’t do it.
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Not happening, it will be worse.
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Because we are missing this huge event to our north somehow?
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Pretty nuts how we get 600mile nw trends from day 5 in the heart of winter but in a transitional month typical for producing fireworks the track is locked in for 5 days barely missing southeast... Really?
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Start the thread.
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Not even a subtle favorable trend thru 84 huh?
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It really wasn’t a shift. In fact a good cluster of w/nw members.
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It’s not always exact as you know. Phasers are complicated so I just wouldn’t go lay down in front of an 18 wheeler at d4, esp for se zones, is all I’m saying.
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I find the offshore systems, that do trend nw, to do so inside d3. Could be selective memory but let’s also not forget the Mar 17 system that crushed NNE, which nyc was suppose to get 12-24” at d2, trend nw. Nam score. Debating semantics I guess but this has a few days before the writing is on the wall imo. N stream phase jobs aren’t necessarily handled easily by models, generally speaking.
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Yes but not at d4/5.
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We just have to keep it within a reasonable range over the next two days where a slight improvement thereafter, with several key features, could give some of us a good shot. I mean... we’re talking like 100 miles, depending on guidance, on good impact vs minimal impact.
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Agree.
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I’d rather see improvements like this prior to it reaching the BM so baby steps at d4.5 is good enough, for now.
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What did you think again?
