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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    8-12” would be great but look at the inflow on gfs, it’s EOR for the best stuff. WCT gets the initial thump then it’s pretty much ip/snizzle while out east get it on the ccb. Just calling it how I see the run. No meh no emotion… Can the gfs be too warm? Sure.
  2. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Take the under with those thermals. Not locking anything in either. I’m just analyzing the GFS run verbatim that’s all.
  3. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Different here man. Just keeping it real.
  4. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea but it was expected imo.
  5. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Congrats pike to EMATT. Scooter and TFlizz rejoice.
  6. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    He got his HECW’s.
  7. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Beer and hockey pucks to the head.
  8. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    108hr is -5c at 925, 27F at surface so there must be funky warmth in there somewhere if we’re IP. I’m getting ahead of myself micro analyzing it though so you’re right…let’s get the blocking to keep trending or hold serve first until we are inside D3.
  9. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Lol. Seymore snow is not getting 20+.
  10. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    The initial thump turned to IP was good and then the backside norlun type snows was nice. Some messy mix in between probably cut it back some but it ended up fine. I hate to rely on backside fanny snows but we’ll cross that bridge in 2-3 days.
  11. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yes
  12. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Turned out to be a great run even outside of Pike region. A little reliant on norlun type snows out here but sign me up for 8-12”.
  13. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea. A little warm/sloppy for SWCT initially. Thump Snow to sleet back to weak snow verbatim.
  14. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    It’s just my initial hedge from last night but a) I am a nobody and b) it’s d5…
  15. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    George in deep trouble?
  16. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Thanks George!
  17. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I wouldn’t worry where you are. It’s a bigger concern out here.
  18. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    We‘ll need the block to keep trending west and the models to catch up.
  19. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Not that good for the southern half of CT but just one run. Regardless, I mentioned to pope earlier this morning the hedge is for a CNE max hit, not mid atl. We’ll see though.
  20. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Scooter sending the snow to pike north/inland while he cleans up with 18”.
  21. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Lol you do really well verbatim but yea, a tick north with the primary holding stronger.
  22. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea. Gfs will be more north.
  23. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    You can feel the better board vibes with an impending snower after months of arguing, melting, fighting, geese killing…just happier weenies finally. We’ll need this to hold now though or it could be armageddon.
  24. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yup and that’s to say, euro could be onto something…it’s possible we see the trailing sw trend closer on other guidance giving the big idea more credit. It’s not a far out concept just not something I would hedge on atm unless I manage to fall into a pair of George’s sneakers.
  25. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea, noted on this system. And next weekend is all over the place. Euro is phase happy again blowing through the block while the gfs looks like a typical fast flow coastal. Cmc does seem to be a little slower and has that -nao costal evolution fwiw. We’ll cross that bridge though as 2/28 gets underway because really, there’s not much time to dissect 3/4…should it still be on the table. Good times!
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