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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I’ll take 13/50 myself which equates to a legendary hitter in the MLB nowadays.
  2. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    When we salivate over >1” probability maps…. Yours truly, winter of 22/23
  3. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Anything above 85/65 is hot to me lol. July to August was AN but we did not have a big memorable heat wave IIRC. Lots of 92/70 type of stuff. We probably had a mid 90 stretch somewhere but if BDL ain’t hitting 110 these-days, it’s forgotten. (I kid).
  4. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Just a continuous 12 month melt from a rat winter to a crappy spring that eventually leads to another hot summeh drought which turns into an subpar foilage season in the fall. Just non stop bitching about the desired weather outcomes not coming to fruition.
  5. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Some of us are still tracking but we get berated for looking at systems in a vacuum. Instead, we should chug a bottle of anger and depression…and jump into the mass grave.
  6. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    That’s not it.
  7. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea, that was my point. It wasn’t a 11/12 rat. WC troughs aren’t a death sentence but it certainly was in Jan with no cold in SE Canada. Dec was super odd we couldn’t cash in either. It’s a rat no doubt, just a strange one. Pope is doing what the pope does..berate others opinions, chastise snow lovers, and stroke his little goose in the process.
  8. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Stay angry your holiness.
  9. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    This has been the strangest winter in my lifetime. Lows along the BM with no cold to tap into, continuous WC troughing, plenty of rain to satisfy Stein, and when we finally get cold it’s dry Siberia. 80s on roids. The good news is the atmosphere is capable of being ultra persistent so you have to think one winter it could be this favorable for us…with continuous EC troughing and trains of snows. A lighter Feb15 type of persistency but longer.
  10. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I never bought the second piece of energy wrapping up and running inland, there’s just not enough spacing from the cutting lead vort unless it slows down and phases in, which the trend is for it to not to. It’s a precarious setup but progressive so it wasn’t worth dissecting until we’re inside d4, if the chance is still there. There’s room though to sneak in an event, but it’s tight. We’ll see.
  11. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
  12. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    There are some houses in our ‘hood that never clean up and it irks me.
  13. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Agree. I’d add a fourth which is how the lawn/property looks in the fall after a big leaf cleanup.
  14. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    100%
  15. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    1. Geese 2. ensembles 3. OP
  16. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Nice to see the shifts east but gl trying to sparse through that wave spacing.
  17. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    And many were so worried over the lack of it in the summeh lol
  18. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    interesting there isn’t one storm in the top 5 for all 4 sites.
  19. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    So nailing the former has a greater impact than nailing the latter. I wasn’t debating whether or not -10F in EMA has a greater impact than 6-12”.
  20. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Fair enough but I’m not referring to the impact, more so the difference in the forecasting accuracy. Cloudy or rain vs 6-12” is a much bigger forecasting delta compared to -10F vs 0F in the middle of the night.
  21. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    It nails fropa’s and cold shots thesedays. Can’t sniff out LR patterns anymore or east coast systems.
  22. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Worth 0.0 to me.
  23. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    It still happens sure but it’s been through so many upgrades and changes. I have not seen data confirming such an extreme bias exists anymore.
  24. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    That’s not the gfs bias anymore. This isn’t 1996.
  25. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea. DXR readings are not reliable, I never trust them. HanRan, help…
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