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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. I’ll take 13/50 myself which equates to a legendary hitter in the MLB nowadays.
  2. When we salivate over >1” probability maps…. Yours truly, winter of 22/23
  3. Anything above 85/65 is hot to me lol. July to August was AN but we did not have a big memorable heat wave IIRC. Lots of 92/70 type of stuff. We probably had a mid 90 stretch somewhere but if BDL ain’t hitting 110 these-days, it’s forgotten. (I kid).
  4. Just a continuous 12 month melt from a rat winter to a crappy spring that eventually leads to another hot summeh drought which turns into an subpar foilage season in the fall. Just non stop bitching about the desired weather outcomes not coming to fruition.
  5. Some of us are still tracking but we get berated for looking at systems in a vacuum. Instead, we should chug a bottle of anger and depression…and jump into the mass grave.
  6. Yea, that was my point. It wasn’t a 11/12 rat. WC troughs aren’t a death sentence but it certainly was in Jan with no cold in SE Canada. Dec was super odd we couldn’t cash in either. It’s a rat no doubt, just a strange one. Pope is doing what the pope does..berate others opinions, chastise snow lovers, and stroke his little goose in the process.
  7. This has been the strangest winter in my lifetime. Lows along the BM with no cold to tap into, continuous WC troughing, plenty of rain to satisfy Stein, and when we finally get cold it’s dry Siberia. 80s on roids. The good news is the atmosphere is capable of being ultra persistent so you have to think one winter it could be this favorable for us…with continuous EC troughing and trains of snows. A lighter Feb15 type of persistency but longer.
  8. I never bought the second piece of energy wrapping up and running inland, there’s just not enough spacing from the cutting lead vort unless it slows down and phases in, which the trend is for it to not to. It’s a precarious setup but progressive so it wasn’t worth dissecting until we’re inside d4, if the chance is still there. There’s room though to sneak in an event, but it’s tight. We’ll see.
  9. There are some houses in our ‘hood that never clean up and it irks me.
  10. Agree. I’d add a fourth which is how the lawn/property looks in the fall after a big leaf cleanup.
  11. Nice to see the shifts east but gl trying to sparse through that wave spacing.
  12. And many were so worried over the lack of it in the summeh lol
  13. interesting there isn’t one storm in the top 5 for all 4 sites.
  14. So nailing the former has a greater impact than nailing the latter. I wasn’t debating whether or not -10F in EMA has a greater impact than 6-12”.
  15. Fair enough but I’m not referring to the impact, more so the difference in the forecasting accuracy. Cloudy or rain vs 6-12” is a much bigger forecasting delta compared to -10F vs 0F in the middle of the night.
  16. It nails fropa’s and cold shots thesedays. Can’t sniff out LR patterns anymore or east coast systems.
  17. It still happens sure but it’s been through so many upgrades and changes. I have not seen data confirming such an extreme bias exists anymore.
  18. That’s not the gfs bias anymore. This isn’t 1996.
  19. Yea. DXR readings are not reliable, I never trust them. HanRan, help…
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