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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. That’s how I see it. The blockier solutions also seem to favor a perfectly timed lobe pinwheeling on the backside of the departing 50/50 low which isn’t in an ideal spot to begin with for suppression but it manages to shunt the system into bermuda anyway.
  2. Trends through 84hrs we’re definitely better on all guidance, the divergence started after that. Onto 18z…
  3. UK/Euro having the cmc in their camp isn’t a stamp of approval either but let’s see how the next 24hrs unfold. I think storm 1 will reveal its tendencies by this time tomorrow.
  4. Hooked back into the GOM at 216hr to crush east zones. I’m tapping out for the season if WCT misses both.
  5. There’s been some hints of that across multiple guidance. Funny how the euro matches the cmc on both too.
  6. Thanks. If euro/eps follow suit, I’m all in. Not necessarily for own my backyard burial but more-so for a big event for some parts of the region, details tbd. And at this stage of the season that wasn’t, there’s nothing to lose from shoving whatever chips we have remaining into the middle.
  7. Gfs is better at h5 thru 84. Honestly, that’s all I want to see today. What happens after that, especially at the surface, is not a priority besides a few mins of a virtual rub and tug.
  8. It improved at h5, all that matters. And the last thing anyone wants is to be crushed by the canadian at d5.
  9. I’m not folding for WOR though, especially inland. Pattern looks loaded with chances but yea I get…it’s just that…until it materializes.
  10. Interior and EOR is best for the weekend. Next week is tbd but I’d favor CNE+ as the block decays along with a pna spike. The pattern should produce but some areas will get skunked. Thems the breaks.
  11. Miller B…I favor emaatt. This shifted away from a biggie but I’m hedging a good storm that delivers late for eastern zones.
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