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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. I see what you’re saying on confluence. Ironically we’ll need the pna to not spike now, a complete reversal of seasonal demands. Interesting.
  2. It’s not like -nao disappears into thin air, it’s decaying -yes- but that’s what we typically need for a biggie.
  3. The fear is real from ptsd but let’s give it another 3 days before we get spooked.
  4. @EastonSN+, we’ll need this tucked in, into SEMA, or under RI. A further east solution would be weaker and equate to a later capture. We’ll have to play with fire if we want to ‘get there’.
  5. That and the cmc are proggy, GOM. Kind of expected while eps is amped and earlier capture. A compromise would do.
  6. Lol This season has gotten to you. You’ll need to crush a few softballs in June if this ends up a dud.
  7. Feels like the 90s again. At least we’re out of the 80s, hopefully, lol.
  8. True, a lot of moving pieces. QueenOmega and his followers are lurking in the bushes waiting to pop out too…
  9. Which is not. I can’t foresee it locking in at d6 and we’ve been burned too many times on these. We’ll just track, salivate…and pray.
  10. Big potential brings out all the models. Paging the Australian and French models next…
  11. That’s a sweet h5 look. Icon tends to be weird on the surface panels but man that would send mid level goodies way west.
  12. That works. I’m not looking for a jack. Just bring the meat into the region.
  13. Ideally everyone gets crushed like feb13 but we know the rarity of it, usually some areas get porked and thats been this area going on a decade. I’d like to say “we are due” but weather doesn’t really work that way.
  14. Let’s keep the big signal there for another 3 days before Ray and I duke it out over placement of capture.
  15. Not another late capture like Jan15 but we’re getting ahead of ourselves discussing where we want it go lol.
  16. That works just don’t trend this for another EOR special or I’ll retire from tracking.
  17. That’s usually how they go if mostly northern stream dominated but this looks hybrid or leaning more A. Embrace the hugger.
  18. Lordamercy..anything but a convective blob robbing the potential.
  19. 16 is ideal. Crushes the areas that have missed out on every KU since 2011 while delivering high end snows for everyone but se zones. If we’re gonna do big storm regression, this is it.
  20. It’s fine where it is. If we start trimming those back now then this ends up being another congrats EOR.
  21. A spikier pna ridge though may cause a huggier track but we’ll see.
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