LakeEffectOH

Heavy snow here! I guess my inner reminded me of how I missed epic LES snowfall by 10 so miles, not to mention several big ticket LES vents over the last few years.

Well, is our LES storm going to deliver or will it be another Ashtabula/Erie special? Bands appear to be parallel to the lakeshore.

With the extended cold coming up, a good, hopefully deep, snowpack will develop over the next couple of weeks.

Hopefully we’ll get more LES this next time around than we did earlier this month due to the lakeshore hugging nature of the snow bands.

Reminds me of JB.

Don't look now, but I saw the BAM Wx long range video today. Walt really backed off on the early - mid January cold. He said the polar vortex, in the models appears to be moving to the other side of the globe.

Had about 2" in Chesterland, but when I arrived at work, in Solon, I saw at least 6" on the picnic tables!

Don’t have a good feeling about places south of Rt 6…growing bust potential. I think the heaviest snow will stay to the north in Lake County with 1-3 inch totals south of Rt 6. Hopefully I’m wrong.

What do you think the snow potential is for Northern Geauga county is for Sunday night and Monday?

Is anyone here on the Bluesky App? I am. http://@dohubb.bsky.social

Does anyone have some idea as to what's causing this marine heatwave?

This outlook doesn't surprise me with the PDO setup we currently have. This PDO setup will probably persist into the winter months.

I was hit by that tornado. I took out 8 trees on my property...fortunately, none of them fell on my house. Still without power...ugh! During the storm, when I was at work in Solon, I saw a red elliptical area, over NW Geauga county in an otherwise sea of green on doppler radar. My radar was set to storm relative velocity, tilt 1. It looked so weird.

I lost eight huge trees on my property. Power is still out. I had to move to a hotel near where I work. When the storms were coming through on Tuesday afternoon, I had my Radar Scope radar app set to Storm Relative Velocity, Tilt 1. The area east of I-271 was green, however there was a large elliptical red area, in the middle of the green over Kirtland and Chesterland. When I saw it, I knew it was bad. The area was too big to be a tornado. A downburst perhaps? Anyone have any idea?

Looks like the storms missed us again. It's like they approach us with a ferocious look on the radar and suddenly dissipate after passing Toledo. Once east of NEO, they redevelop. It seems like this pattern has been going on since May.

MCS is falling apart as it approaches NEOH. Main energy headed to our south...as usual. Seems like almost everything misses to our south nowadays. Hope this trend isn't part of our "new climate". Maybe I should move to Columbus...

Well, I've noticed the nicest day of the week is usually Monday, and the eclipse falls on a Monday, so...that may help us. A little...

Anybody care to guess what the weather will be like on Eclipse Day (4/8)? According to one Wx vendor, precipitation is expected to be above normal during the first half of April.

OHweather, A little break from the current snow event... What are your thoughts about the recent crash in snowfall totals measured at CLE? Link: https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org Here are some of my thoughts on possible contributing factors: Recent tendency of the MJO to linger in the "Bad phases" (4-7); The changes in the Indo-Pacific warm pool could be a factor in this. Expansion and warming of the Indo-Pacific Ocean: A strongly negative PDO over the past several years: Link: https://www.worldclimateservice.com/2021/09/01/pacific-decadal-oscillation A greater tendency of the winter NAO to be positive, especially in the past 10 years, (circled in green): Link: https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/nao/img/idl_nao_base1951-1980_ONDJFM_300dpi.png Of course, there are many other factors, large and small, that are affecting our snow totals. I only hope this isn't permanent because of climate change. I would be interested in hearing your and anyone else's thoughts.

Well, we're under a Winter Storm Watch... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 230 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2024 OHZ009>013-019>021-180330- /O.NEW.KCLE.WS.A.0001.240119T0600Z-240120T0600Z/ Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Huron-Medina-Summit- Including the cities of Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Norwalk, Willard, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, and Akron 230 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio. * WHEN...From late Thursday night through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. Interesting that Ashtabula county was left out. Me thinks that Ashtabula has different criteria for winter storm messages.

Yeah, I spoke too soon. Blame me, lol!

Since the lake is a "warm" 40 deg., It's possible we get a lot of LEH & LES snow, starting late Friday and lasting for several days due to the Arctic air settling in for at least the next week. Most guidance has consistently shown potentially heavy snow totals for a few days now. Fingers crossed!

Yes, in Solon, where I work, it was a rain/snow mix all day. It wasn't til I practically crossed the Chester township line when everything became covered with 1-3" of snow.

I may not be correct here, but it seems like the last Huron connection we've had was in 2020. Before then, we'd get at least one per year. Bigger LES events seem to be going to WNY/Buffalo since about 2016 - the year the long term eastern snow drought began.

In Chesterland, I got at least 8". However looking at the storm reports around me, by certified spotters, accums are between 3.5 - 5". I checked pretty well for drifts before...estimating the depth. Strange. Maybe I better get a snow measuring device.