RedSky
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Everything posted by RedSky
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Long range forecasting is headed for a bust of epic proportions this December, what value do analogs have now with a changing planet/ base state?
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Taken almost 5 years for a map like that one for Philly <7 days away January 2016 of course. Savor the digital fantasy.
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GFS with a southeastern jog, CMC gets on board ensembles look good, ECM a tight coastal favors I78 N&W. Somewhere in the middle would be very good.
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Storm #1 is screwing up storm #2 - it's in the weenie handbook
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Amazing what good blocking and and upper level chest pieces in all the right places can do with a none too impressive cold air source
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Maybe this is why Glenn Hurricane didn't do a winter outlook we get to use last years now lol
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Better for Philly and a classic I95'er
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ECM is going to be similar to 0z
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In 45 minutes I will know if it's stolen my snow again
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A little too much enthusiasm here the ECM isn't even out yet to see if it can hold a storm for a second run
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ECM ensembles maintain a winter storm signal next week
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Good second burst nearing .5"
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GFS and CMC have no euro storm but the CMC throws an 18" one at us a day and a half later, meh
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.2" and more snow than May, sigh of relief
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Mod SN here with a dusting and 36F
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First moderate snowfall potential on the ECM day 7
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For real? If I had to watch one more smiling Wentz post game saying he knows how good he is and were going to get this fixed this next week...
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As things look now come Dec 20th the monthly average will be within .5F of normal and locally 5.5" rain will have fallen and doubtful to have seen more than 1" of snow. IMO that sucks I would be happy to trade it for the mild dry month this was suppose to be.
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Sounds like Obi Wan giving Ji force tips
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Richmond VA is game for 1" it appears, they only get 10.3" a winter. Old man winter is laughing
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Many fellow weenie peeps got Lucy'd in New England like we usually do. I have to dig into the arcane weenie handbook to see what this means for winter.
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It's a joke because the days do keep shortening but yes the earliest sunset is on the 7th according to the stellar mechanics
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So far my December snow flurries are behind the rates I saw in May, and my November squall was a tie for May lol
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Sunsets get later again after Monday, that should help warm us up
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1.5" for the storm and 3.5" rain locally the first week of December. Already near a months worth of rain and the winter forecasts are for drier than normal La Nina what is going on.
