The precipitation is not dropping down from the north, the cold air is. The precip is coming up from the southwest and we will have to see if it gets sheared away as it pushes up into some colder air in your area or what.
Remember this is just the start of the storm. It is pushing up from the southwest. It is supposed to go through the morning and into the afternoon. There's a low now sitting along the coast of NC.
It's 40, with dp 32 here IMBY (just before 5 am) so there is definitely a temp gradient. I am assuming the precip is rising up from the south (based on radar and the way the models depicted it) with the cold air pushing down from the north (based on the temps where you are).
How far that cold air sinks will be key.
I was out earlier today with a t-shirt and a hoodie jacket (sortof a medium weight one with some lining but not like a heavily-lined sweatshirt type of lining). Was just fine and that is with the breeze too.
I was doing a comparison and I think the issue with that is that the "Total Snowfall" is basically an aggregate of all snow that fell, whether it melted or not. I expect in this case (as mentioned by someone who posted in the thread earlier) that the "Snow Depth" is probably a bit better indicator of what is coming.
Yeah I saw that this morning in a LSR (posted upthread). That was pretty wild!
I think I have hit my high for the day at 47. Currently bopping between 46 and 47, and a sun shining through a deck of cirrus, with dp 22.