Volcanic Winter

On 12/18/2023 at 3:18 PM, suzook said:

Dec 19, 2009 we got 26 inches of snow here on eastern LI. Ahh, the good ole days 

Absolutely clobbered! I was in Long Branch for that storm while going to school at MU, and I remember about 18 inches. It was a beast of a storm and an ATG snow memory. 

Then to have Boxing Day a year later? What an incredibly improbable back to back hit. 

I have tons of pics of the 2009 storm somewhere, I’m going to be looking for them and hopefully get them posted. 

19 hours ago, forkyfork said:

getting more than 5 weenies on a post should kill you

You’re a piece of work, Forky lol. I just gargled my coffee reading that this morning. 

What would 1/29/22 be classified as? That had a phase IIRC right? I feel like had that storm cut NW like 40-50 miles it would be remembered as a top tier event. Was so close to something special, and was an extremely fun (and nail biting) storm to track on here. 

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Believe it or not, but every forum that wants to be successful needs posters like Metfan 

I legitimately envision him standing on a stack of pallets on his street corner with a megaphone going, “YO YOU GUYS SEE THE PATTERN COMING UP?? GFS SAYS 6-12”!!!”

And it makes me smile, lol. 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

And Metfan 

You’re the hype man. 

16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Yup, at least we had 20/21 which as a good winter. Outside of that pretty bad. 18/19 was ok in that it was slightly below average snowfall largely saved by March (also an 80s 90s feature).

17/18 I just remember getting plastered by that early Jan storm which was amazing down my ways. 20/21 was better where I work, and then Jan 22 was a solid month though not for all which sucks. Rough otherwise. 

30 minutes ago, rclab said:

Good morning V W. I not sure why but after reading your post, I started humming that old 50 year ago Pattie Page tune, How Much Is That Doggie In The Window. Stay well, warm and uncut. As always ….

You’re a legitimately funny guy, rclab. You make me laugh, have a wonderful holiday you and yours! 

Refreshing indeed. Nothing like waking up in the morning to crisp air that’ll make your nipples cut glass. 

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

21 for the low. Coldest of the season so far 

And probably coldest for a while?

22F, coldest of fall / winter so far here, finally. Still only just though, my min for November was 22.3. 

Edit: 21F now @ 6am. 

Made it down to 26 this AM for a low. Looks like tomorrow AM will be the coldest of this brief stretch?

11 minutes ago, North and West said:

 

Can you put it into words that my dog would understand? tyvm. 

Grrr WOOF WOOF! Grrr bow wow wow wow, grrrrrrr woof, woof! 

Just happened to take a peak at temps over in Beijing…

That’s pretty wild. I don’t know much about their normal temps, but I know they sit at 39N and that’s pretty damn cold. 

I’m taking a trip to NE for my birthday in Feb. We kept it quick and simple and went to Danbury last year. Did some beautiful hikes, though in 50 degrees and with bare ass ground which was depressing. This year I’m looking for more of a sure thing to step into some snow, so I think we’re going to go up to Vermont. 

Still planning things out but should be a good time. I used to snowboard but had a major back injury a decade ago, so I stick to hiking these days. 

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Winter starts in 2 days 

I do appreciate your unflappable optimism, dude. Excited to (hopefully) vibe with you in a storm thread or three!

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I never realized what a treasure this subforum is.....if you have an open mind, one can actually learn the most from perspectives that don't always necessarily align with that of your own. Really appreciate the alternate lens through which some of you guys view things.

I can’t even imagine what the 2015 blitz was like for you guys. 2013-2015 was fantastic even down here, but mind boggling up your way. 

I actually had pack and retention through both winters down here living near the coast, it was wonderful. Though the snow totals weren’t the extravaganza you had, the persistent cold kept it around and the whole winter had that enjoyable kind of wintry vibe. 
 

But yeah, I’m in awe of 2015 up your ways. Unreal. 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

However, I do not expect snowfall totals rivaling either of those seasons...at least in SNE, but otherwise agreed.

Understood, thank you for all the work and effort you put into your blog. It’s really outstanding work. 

20 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I had 30” of snow in 2-3 weeks in Feb 2021. If I can arrange that again I’ll sign in a heartbeat. 12/26/10 to 1/27/11 was one month which was 4 feet in many areas. 

I was in North Brunswick for that latter stretch living in a ground floor apartment with my then girlfriend, now wife. That stretch was absolutely bonkers, Boxing Day put snow drifts almost all the way to the top of the front door. And it was just constant shoveling with my car getting plowed in and buried multiple times… was a trip!

Dec 09 was also insane in Long Branch while I was living near school (MU). I have to find my pics of that storm, it was so fun. 

5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

if January and February are both good, then it can still be a very good winter.

Look at the snowfall totals of 1977-78 and also 2014-15

 

 

Agreed. That’s what @40/70 Benchmarkis thinking, roughly. We see improvements in Jan (still a ‘thaw’) and then a solid Feb with periods of blocking. His blog / forecast was really outstanding with tons of analysis and consideration towards a ton of factors. I think he pegged NYC for 25-35 this season overall. 

Of course, I’m hoping he’s onto something! 

@snowman19

How do you feel about January and perhaps February? Genuinely interested in your take. 

Do you anticipate improvement to our snow chances or do you think it’ll continue to be a struggle? 
 

I’ve followed your thoughts in the ENSO thread but was curious if based on current guidance you have any other insights. Thanks man. 

16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I'd go with the Ventus 4.0 Blizzard

https://www.demaclenko.com/snow-guns/fan-guns/ventus-4-0-blizzard/

 

Looks good, I’ll pass it along. To my friend.

Thanks. 

Has anyone ever purchased a snow making cannon thingy for at home personal use? Asking for a friend. 

More like warm turkey. 

39 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I feel attacked. I thought this was a safe space for snow addicts?

6 minutes ago, snywx said:

97-98 all over again 

I’m sure rains to Quebec precedes all our best winter periods! 

Nah, I’m staying optimistic that January will be more agreeable. But I don’t see anything realistically happening until after NYE and likely then some.