magpiemaniac

I’m at an incredible 0.30” of rain today.  I had a miraculous cell come through in the past hour.  Looks to be about wrapped up.  I realize that 0.30” might not be much, but it’s Noah-level rain considering the context.

42 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Radar looks as if you’ll be fine. It’s rained here all morning and we haven’t had anything measurable yet

Thankfully, I picked up 0.12” of light rain.  It’s something.  Sun is peaking through now.  I just keep getting slotted with the good rates to my NW and SE.

6 minutes ago, gman said:

Radar is a bust for the Upstate of S.C. 

It’s all pretty weak.  RAH keeps downgrading my point forecast for rain.  The more intense rain is to my northwest and southeast.

It’s as if these “precipitation superhighways” develop over several months and all the rain travels along those paths time after time, event after event.  If you’re located in the grassy median between the highways, your rainfall will remain below normal for many weeks.  Amazingly, those rain-starved medians can sometimes be just ten or twenty miles wide.

6 hours ago, btownheel said:

Looks like we’ve got a nice line coming through tonight.

There was a nice line earlier this evening coming in from the southwest, but—as usual—it went poof well before arriving here.  Areas between Boone and Yadkinville did very well today.  Tonight’s radar is drying up though.  About to close the books on this one.  Another case of RAH calling for three-quarters of an inch and then end up getting ZERO.  I’ve had 0.33” of rain in the last ten days.  There’s next week’s afternoon storm chances I suppose.  Looks dry the rest of this week.

18 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

.43 today and still raining lightly. 3.85 for the month. Could use a bit more but not bad. 

Congratulations.  You just passed me for June rain totals.

33 minutes ago, Avdave said:

Finished up with 1.23" from Claudette. Pretty much what I thought.

Today it is a steamy humid day. Gross outside. 

Rainfall for June 5.37" MTD

Areas east of me are kicking my butt in June rainfall.  I’m at 3.83”.    And RAH is already reducing my rain probabilities for tomorrow.  Models are shifting all the rain I was supposed to get to the east of me.  Talk about kicking a man while he’s down.

As expected, today’s precipitation has been to my south.  The single 0.20” cell this morning was the only rain I saw.  Tuesday will be my sole chance this week for additional rain.

A muggy 75 right now.  While sitting in church, I received a notification from my station that a cell was over the house.  Managed 0.20” from it.  I’m at 3.83” for June.

11 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said:

This makes me sad     

Selfishly for MBY, I’d love for the 12z NAM to verify with its 2.5” of rain.  Trends still seem to move the precipitation track northward compared to yesterday’s runs.  I’m not convinced that’ll pan out though.  I think that I-85 will be the cutoff line with most precipitation to the south.

According to the 00z NAM, TC Three’s rain shifts slightly north, but there’s just less of it to go around.  Not much to see here.

June’s rain gauge is still stuck at 3.62”.  Dry as a bone for the last several days.  Maybe we can get something out of this tropical cyclone by Sunday or Monday if it’ll ever get its act together.

16 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Anyone know how to get climate data from Franklin County airport? Our farmer up there says it’s the driest spring he’s ever had and it literally didn’t rain in April and they had just 1 thunderstorm in may. They have been unable to plant this year without irrigation 

Three day history for the airport is here:  https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KLHZ.html

Long range climate data for Franklin County is here:  https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/county/time-series/NC-069/pcp/1/5/1895-2021?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1901&endbaseyear=2000

1 hour ago, yotaman said:

Just picked up an additional .81" from a severe warned storm. This puts me up to 7.09" for the month and it is only mid month.

Your June mean is 5.13”.  You’ve crushed that already.    But like @NorthHillsWx said, send some of your surplus to the Piedmont.

19 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

You’re doing better than me. April we had just 0.94”, May was 1.42”, and were at 3.77” this month. One of the big issues, other than the low totals, is that it’s just been a few days of rain too. The inconsistent nature of our rainfall means that we’ve frequently gone weeks between measurable rain events, even if we got a good rainfall over a 2 day period. 

Wow.  I didn’t realize May’s rain was that scarce for you.  I figured that April was bad, but didn’t realize May was, too.

For Wake, April 2021 was the 8th driest April on record and driest since 1994..  For Guilford, it was our 18th driest April.

36 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

No rain in the vicinity here tonight. Unfortunately our long range rain prospects seem to hinge entirely on the disturbance in the gulf. Setting up for another very dry period if it misses the area 

That gulf low needs to bring the goods because the rest of June looks to be slim on the rain otherwise.  My rain totals since early spring haven’t been impressive.

• April:  1.75” (1.70” below monthly mean)
• May:  3.54” (0.33” below monthly mean)
• June (through today):  3.62” (0.46” below monthly mean, but surely I’ll get another half inch before the end of the month…maybe)

15 minutes ago, Jessy89 said:

Both these cells managed to miss me

That’s nuts.  Maybe it’s because I’m paying more attention than what’s warranted, but I’d be at two feet of rain for May and June if multiple storms hadn’t fizzled out with a few miles from me.

Edit:  I just went back and played the loop of your storms.  Talk about a kick in the sack.  Missed you on both sides.

3:56 PM frame shows the weakening.  Of course.  

14 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Nasty storm heading in direction of stokesdale. Showing rotation as well

I’m sure it’ll weaken by the time it arrives near me, but I’d take the rain.

And why do storm track lines rarely ever match the actual track of the storm?

9 hours ago, jburns said:

It’s still coming but now shows signs of some weakening. Less lightning in the last half hour. I think by the time it reaches me on the Guilford/Randolph border it will be just be a short period of moderate rain and maybe a rumble of thunder.

It was pretty anemic by the time it rolled through here, but I did manage 0.10” out of it.  I’m at 3.61” for June so far and entering what appears to be another dry week for me.

8 minutes ago, jburns said:

Looks like it is holding together. In fact it seems to be getting stronger. Surprising for this time of the evening.

It appears that the worst (or best) of it will pass to my west unless what’s now in Rockingham County expands shortly.  I’m ready for bed, but I think I’ll go sit on the porch and watch it rain on others vicariously.

Mean looking line of storms in southern VA approaching the state line.  The outflow boundary is very pronounced on the KFCX radar.

I’m trying to move my retired parents from TN to NC and this is the absolutely worst real estate market to try to do it in.  Great for sellers, but terrible for buyers.  At their advancing age, they’d like to sell their current home and lease here so they don’t have to worry about maintenance, etc.  The inventory is slim, the prices are ridiculous, and the few houses that are available are snapped up in what seem to be hours.

13 hours ago, jburns said:

I’ve been watching that one on radar and figured you were getting a good shot of rain. It is presently sliding by me just to the east. I am up to a big 0.02” now.  

There’s nothing quite as frustrating as seeing needed rain skirt you by a mile.  Well, other than missing out on snow.

It looks like next week might be a little more dry than this week has been for many of us SE folks.  I hoped y’all banked enough rain to get you through.  Looks like I’ll be able to get in a round of golf soon, but I’d forfeit some golf for needed rain any day.

My total rainfall for June so far is 3.49”.  Slowly making progress.

• June 2:  0.01”
• June 3:  TRACE
• June 4:  0.02”
• June 6:  0.49”
• June 7:  0.21”
• June 8:  TRACE
• June 9:  0.12”
• June 10:  1.62”
• June 11:  1.02”