SolidIcewx

We got more coming boss

Very impressive to say the least. This makes up for ghd 3

Overachiever for sure I am pleased ima go for a walk after some Cajun white bean chili

Wind whipping around borderline blizzard imo

Big fat flakes now flying near DTW. Picking up more as the minutes go by. I see the death band on the other side of the state I wonder if it will hold

There’s the slot coming in

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 604 PM EST Thu Feb 17 2022 .AVIATION... Snow, heavy at times, will continue this evening from KPTK south with 1" per hour rates at times. Vsbys will be less than 1SM and often 1-4-1/2SM with cigs into the IFR to possibly LIFR range. KFNT (and especially KMBS) will see less intense snowfall on average. Snow will taper off between 10 pm and midnight and end overnight. Cigs will lift back to MVFR to lower VFR in the wake of this winter storm. North winds will gust to 20-25 knots into the early morning hours and then decrease and back to the west/southwest late in the forecast on Friday. For DTW...The heaviest period of snow will exist between 00z-03z where snowfall rates of between 1 and 2 inches per hour can be expected at times. Total snow amounts of 5-8 inches are expected by around midnight.

Yeah winds are whipping like crazy right now can’t see 2 blocks away

Really nice band setting up in Lenawee and monroe counties moving NE

Still time for the dry slot to fill in. Snowing easily inch an hour in canton at Michigan ave i275 area. Sleet was insane for a moment 20 ish min drive took me almost an hour earlier

I’m not a 100% sure it’s a good thing or not

32 in Ypsilanti now change over sooner the. Expected it seems

It’s 34 here at my work in Ypsilanti MI

Called it with the major impact upgrade

https://maps.api.weatherbell.com/gif/temporary/nam-nest-greatlakes-refc_ptype-1645056000-1645120800-1645142400-10.gif hope the link works for the nam a 6 hour window

I wish for it to slow its role I like right where it’s at

Not sure where to put this but I’m curious to know the origins of this sun forum I know good chunk of y’all been around for awhile. I feel honored to be around such knowledge

They are gonna around here for sure. It’s all ice really

Glad to see them taking it a little more seriously

Expectations are for heavy snow impacting the Thursday Evening commute across the Detroit Metro Area and points south, as strong upper level wave comes out of southern Arizona and becomes absorbed within the strong southwest flow of the northern stream trough. Combined 6hr 500 MB height fall center looks to be tracking along the southern Michigan/northwest Ohio border, and favor heaviest band of snow along/just above 850 MB shear axis/fgen zone. Short duration (~21-3z) of the intense lift, but at least several hours of snowfall rates of 1+ inch/hr at any given location. Very sharp NW-SE moisture gradient in place, but still strong consensus of 4 g/kg in the 850-700 MB layer lingering around I-94 corridor in the early evening before aggressive drying then takes place for the rest of the evening and Thursday night. Despite the 12z Euro coming in rather progressive and unimpressive from a QPF perspective (compared to RAP/NAM), have elected to issue a winter storm warning for Detroit Metro Area and points south for 4-8" (especially after giving the 18z NAM a quick peak, which is very agressive). With the peak timing occuring during the Thursday evening commute, and some wind and drier snow on the back end, seems like this event will be highly impactful for travel concerns, especially if a layer of ice develops under the snow as well. Far southeast areas TTF-DET could still be under influence of the leftover marginal warm layer aoa 5000 feet to lead to sleet initially Thursday afternoon, which would cut down on snow amounts for those areas. On flip side, locations north of I-94 have chance to overachieve if snow to liquid ratios end up higher than forecast or if we are able to tap into the instability/negative EPV above the frontal zone indicated in cross sections. very interesting

Mostly for Detroit metro I’m curious as to why they don’t have impacts rated higher. Flash freeze, some freezing rain, a switch to snow then heavy snow potentially during the evening rush not to mention the winds cranking a bit

Not quite sure why they have little impacts from Fort Wayne up through DTW. Based off everything I’d say Major impacts especially in the Detroit metro with it being rush hour and later

Yeah that’s a dream. Snow rates would have to be 2” an hour at least. That would bring a lot of chaos around here too

You win on that one brother lmao. Looks like we need to get the ice skates out