MJO812
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Everything posted by MJO812
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You never know. The models can also be underdoing the low level cold like we saw with past storms. Like Neg NAO stated , this will be a nowcasting event.
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Take any snow you can get
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Winter Weather Advisory for NYC 2-4 inches of snow
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This isn't the Euro The Euro mjo goes into 8 with a low amplitude but stays out of the COD and goes into 1. Euro has the mjo going into 8 tomorrow.
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Winter Re-Awakening - February 12-14th Redeveloper
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
What a mess on Tuesday -
Took me 3 hours to shovel 5 inches of sleet with temps in the teens for vday 2007.
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Radar looks very good for tonight I have no clue how this is going to miss but everything misses this winter.
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Warmest model out there
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It's either going to be all snow ending as sleet or all rain with some sleet.
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Low level cold air is also hard to get out.
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Most likely early dismissals inland areas
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Nam is 2-3 inches for NYC then alot of sleet Colder run than 12z More snow inland
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I like 1-3 for NYC before the changeover to sleet and rain. We can get more snow if it comes in like a wall.
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The strength of the high and the placement.
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Tricky forecast for the NYC area just like it was for the November storm. The earlier the precip comes in the better. The forecast changes if the models are wrong with the strength of the high and the placement
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LOL Great post
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Gotcha The whole storm isn't going to be rain. Ukie got colder again at 12z. Tuesday is cold and doesn't rain until at night now.
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What are you exactly looking for ?
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This was the coldest model before the other models caught on.
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Thump of snow to icy mess to heavy rain
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And Nam now is also cold The lakes cutter is too far west to cause a big warm-up here like we usually see with lakes cutters. The high up north is causing CAD in our area which all the models are seeing now.
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Some snow then sleet then some rain for the coast with more frozen precip inland.
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Nam is alot colder this past run. Alot of frozen precip to start. The high is anchored better in canada.
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Nam is coming in colder Let's see what the rest of the run shows
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The EPS now shows a favorable track for next weekend's storm
