How many times have the euro busted in the past few years ? It's not as good as it use to be.
1-3 is still a good call for the city . Hopefully the gfs is right with 2-4.
2-4 for NYC on the Kuchera GFS maps with more towards LI.
I like 2-4 for the area. I wouldn't be shocked if we see less or even more. Depends how fast the front comes through.
2-4 if the models continue to get colder. It's going to come down hard once the front crashes. Its going to be interesting to watch unfold.
I remember the models getting juicier the last time we had the same situation a few years ago.