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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. Over a foot at hour 90 for NYC with over 20 inches for western NJ with alot more to go for the coast. Unreal
  2. Upton already all in for down here Upton all in Given the supply of low level cold air and unlikelihood of warmer air intruding aloft, this event looks to be all snow for just about the entire region, except maybe the south shore of eastern Long Island for a time. Too early to get into the mesoscale details here, but confidence in significant snowfall amounts over 6 inches continues to increase, with potential for over a foot of snow in areas that experience the best mesoscale lift and snow growth NW of the low track. NE winds should also be quite strong along the coast due to the pressure gradient between the strong high to the north and the developing low, as high as 25-35 mph with gusts up to to 45 mph, causing considerable blowing and drifting of snow and at least near blizzard conditions. Still some question how quickly the low will pull out on Thu, with the ECMWF lagging a little behind the GFS, so steady snow still likely in the morning, then gradually tapering off from W to E through the day. Fair and cold Thu night into Sat with high pressure returning, then some moderation possible with an approaching frontal system. Too early to get into precip type details with this system, just calling it mainly rain/snow at this juncture
  3. Upton all in Given the supply of low level cold air and unlikelihood of warmer air intruding aloft, this event looks to be all snow for just about the entire region, except maybe the south shore of eastern Long Island for a time. Too early to get into the mesoscale details here, but confidence in significant snowfall amounts over 6 inches continues to increase, with potential for over a foot of snow in areas that experience the best mesoscale lift and snow growth NW of the low track. NE winds should also be quite strong along the coast due to the pressure gradient between the strong high to the north and the developing low, as high as 25-35 mph with gusts up to to 45 mph, causing considerable blowing and drifting of snow and at least near blizzard conditions. Still some question how quickly the low will pull out on Thu, with the ECMWF lagging a little behind the GFS, so steady snow still likely in the morning, then gradually tapering off from W to E through the day. Fair and cold Thu night into Sat with high pressure returning, then some moderation possible with an approaching frontal system. Too early to get into precip type details with this system, just calling it mainly rain/snow at this juncture
  4. He also trolled us in Dec 2010 when the Euro lost the Boxing Day storm.
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