Ensemble mean from euro. Much different from op. Something dont seem right.
Hard to not lean towards the Ensembles as they have been steadfast vs op runs for some of these model runs such as this recent Euro
Agree as others have said we should all be thrilled with the large numbers in precip as that seems for sure now it’s just a matter of where this ends up after all the wobbling.
Love it for my Lake Placid region. GFS appears to also be in agreement. Seems like the track is pretty much set plus or minus some wiggle room N or S. This should have already been sampled by now.
GFS has actually been somewhat consistent lately over the past several runs. Here's to hoping those numbers pan out and the ICON is underperforming. Time will tell.
I will be up there Thursday so was watching this weekends system. I agree with your assessment. Lets hope it continues and also help some other members on this forum.
Not buying into anything at this time as this system does not get on shore until Thursday I believe and we can get some sampling. And I am speaking only about the potential system for Saturday.
Winter storm warning now issued for certain areas. I fly into Burlington tomorrow by noon so hopefully will be ok to get over to Stowe later.
Happy Thanksgiving to all
Let’s hope some future runs improve those totals some but I will take what it’s showing now. Will be interesting to see the next day or two of runs especially the hi res models