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Weather Mike

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Everything posted by Weather Mike

  1. Agree what do you think. LOT has reduced downtown Chicago amounts despite some recent model runs showing a good >9 inch dump. It’s like they are assuming the worst is going to happen so don’t get too excited in the city.
  2. I'm in Tampa on a layover, ORD this afternoon and then hunker down. We need Saturday afternoon to deliver an inch an hour to get us 9+. If we can get 3 by noon .5/hr for 6 hours we will be in good shape. Funny I am in Miami waiting to fly to ORD. Can’t wait for some snow on Saturday in Chitown. Good luck to everyone and today’s model runs !
  3. When we see it decrease that’s a good sign we will see it head more east. I just hope it’s south of the Bay Its nasty in Tampa now. I am on the bay.
  4. If the eye wall is undergoing replacement then I assume it could regain strength and be more resistant to the shear/dry air vs if it underwent EWR later today ?
  5. I know there may be more than 1 factor but what should we be focusing on to dictate how far north Milton goes until it heads more east that’s influencing it until it makes landfall ? Is it that trough ?
  6. Someone on the west coast is going to take a big hit soon. God bless all of you. Including me.
  7. We need a break in Tampa. So many homes went under water. I just gutted mine due to the surge. Lets hope this comes in weak and spares Tampa.
  8. I think we need time to see if this goes more west. It appears to me on radar its now heading north and soon NE so maybe in time we shift things back a little east. Time will tell later today,
  9. Its like KLOT is taking into consideration the lake but the GFS and some others say screw the lake ?
  10. love that run. On my way to Chicago now. I know the lake will affect accumulations but I still love seeing those numbers on the recent 18Z
  11. Thanks for posting that. To me the Euro and GFS have been similar and consistent lately with this event. I hope it does come to fruition.
  12. How does the 12Z Euro look especially for Chicago ? Is it similar to the 12z gfs?
  13. GFS has been very consistent. Good to see that trend ....if it unfolds that way
  14. I like at least how still the GFS and Euro are not NW and more in agreement give or take a little unlike the NAM etc. See what the 12Z shows.
  15. What a difference this close to the event on these two model runs from Milwaukie to CHI
  16. Appreciate the in-depth review for Chicagoland. It seems reasonable but is this for areas away from the Lake and north of the city ? Lots of talk of 3-5 inches max for city and lakeshore and rain for hours on Friday ?
  17. Can anyone share one of the most recent high res model snow maps for the Illinois area ? thanks
  18. What would need to realistically happen as these models unfold and the system approaches to allow the metro area to avoid any rain ?
  19. Crazy how the lake I assume can reduce amounts and then you go just west a little and you are at 10 inches. That sucks for us near the shore or in downtown. Is there anyway that the shore or downtown can get in that 10 inch range ?
  20. If you had to guess precip amounts for downtown what do you think is your call and could that change tomorrow based on future runs of the models or are you pretty set ?
  21. So north of I80 and near the shore like downtown you are predicting around 5inches which could be on the high side?
  22. 3-5 for the city seems very low. Most model runs support at least above 6-7 for the city and the Euro just showed 10+
  23. thats great. Lets see what the Euro says a little later.
  24. I really hope Chitown can stay all snow. At least north of I 80. Let’s see what the 12Z runs show.
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