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Weather Mike

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Everything posted by Weather Mike

  1. Weather Mike
    Looks like impact on the 12z ICON is Tampa or just slightly north
  2. Weather Mike
    High Tide of 3ft around 2-3am on the 29th which if it holds up is when Ian will be the closest to the greater Tampa area. Not good considering all the surge and wind on top of that.
  3. Weather Mike
    Bayshore Blvd will be under water for sure. I'm in sunset park zone A so will see how high the water comes as I am very close to the bay.
  4. Weather Mike
    Yea woke up to a hurricane watch and I’m sure evacuations will be next for some of us. 06Z ICON still has it coming into the greater Tampa area.
  5. Weather Mike
    TPA already closing schools Tuesday and Wednesday and talking about evacuations for certain areas starting late tomorrow Favoring that Euro track
  6. Weather Mike
    Euro has been consistent and I see GFS coming east. I see a landfall somewhere at or north of Tampa
  7. Weather Mike
    surge into tampa bay will not be good if that unfolds
  8. Weather Mike
    If you basing it on GFS then yes but Euro held off on the intensity until Jamaica
  9. Weather Mike
    maybe they will adjust more east on the 11pm update
  10. Weather Mike
    Euro had it strengthening later vs GFS
  11. Weather Mike
    you are correct thanks
  12. Weather Mike
    not sure how that can be that west when Euro and UKMET are east and the GFS shifted east just now towards Tally so not sure I am buying too much into that based on the 12Z Euro and UKMET
  13. Weather Mike
    Yea my home in Sunset Park will have fish swimming down the street
  14. Weather Mike
    12Z JMA looks very similar to 12Z Euro
  15. Weather Mike
    Euro has been consistent over past several runs. Not taking the bait to go west like the GFS
  16. Weather Mike
    Jim Cantore in Clearwater today and never a good sign to see Jim in your neighborhood
  17. Weather Mike
    Euro, ICON and UKMET has been steadfast against the GFS and all the others that head it up the panhandle. Will be interesting to see what unfolds.
  18. Weather Mike
    Curious if most of the models that take it into the panhandle are basing the low further south? Or maybe there is more to it then that ? I don’t want it in Tampa trust me but I’m not closing the door on the possibility these models swing the other way over the next day or two to correct themselves once a low has been established and that trough has been better sampled.
  19. Weather Mike
    Hopefully tomorrow we can finally establish a low and the models and come to a better agreement. I am sure like you said they are handling the lows differently and possibly the interaction with that trough.
  20. Weather Mike
    For the sake of you and I I just hope it does not turn out to be a landfall between the GFS and Euro run as we will not be in a good position with some bad storm surge.
  21. Weather Mike
    yes its more west then 12z. I was not making a refence as it was just off the coast. But more so its position being west of Tampa. Looks like a Tallahassee special
  22. Weather Mike
    starting to weaken slightly as it heads due north just west of Tampa
  23. Weather Mike
    What caused Charlie to change paths and head in earlier ? Is the environment around for a similar possibility with this TD as it head up the west coast of FL as a Hurricane ?
  24. Weather Mike
    Like to see those extra weather balloons looking at those upper level winds regarding that trough
  25. Weather Mike
    I assume the UKMET and GFS are representing different interactions with the trough vs the Euro and ICON for example ?
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