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Weather Mike

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Everything posted by Weather Mike

  1. Weather Mike
    Euro has been consistent over past several runs. Not taking the bait to go west like the GFS
  2. Weather Mike
    Jim Cantore in Clearwater today and never a good sign to see Jim in your neighborhood
  3. Weather Mike
    Euro, ICON and UKMET has been steadfast against the GFS and all the others that head it up the panhandle. Will be interesting to see what unfolds.
  4. Weather Mike
    Curious if most of the models that take it into the panhandle are basing the low further south? Or maybe there is more to it then that ? I don’t want it in Tampa trust me but I’m not closing the door on the possibility these models swing the other way over the next day or two to correct themselves once a low has been established and that trough has been better sampled.
  5. Weather Mike
    Hopefully tomorrow we can finally establish a low and the models and come to a better agreement. I am sure like you said they are handling the lows differently and possibly the interaction with that trough.
  6. Weather Mike
    For the sake of you and I I just hope it does not turn out to be a landfall between the GFS and Euro run as we will not be in a good position with some bad storm surge.
  7. Weather Mike
    yes its more west then 12z. I was not making a refence as it was just off the coast. But more so its position being west of Tampa. Looks like a Tallahassee special
  8. Weather Mike
    starting to weaken slightly as it heads due north just west of Tampa
  9. Weather Mike
    What caused Charlie to change paths and head in earlier ? Is the environment around for a similar possibility with this TD as it head up the west coast of FL as a Hurricane ?
  10. Weather Mike
    Like to see those extra weather balloons looking at those upper level winds regarding that trough
  11. Weather Mike
    I assume the UKMET and GFS are representing different interactions with the trough vs the Euro and ICON for example ?
  12. Weather Mike
    Thats a lot of surge coming into Fort Myers and Port Charlotte.
  13. Weather Mike
    Yes that's terrible for Tampa. Tampa to Naples is my landing zone probability. Hoping for a change because that 06z GFS is terrible for me and others around the greater tampa bay area.
  14. Weather Mike
    Change from yesterday as now most major models are targeting Florida from the big bend to the Keys. See if this continues tomorrow and beyond.
  15. Weather Mike
    12Z CMC and ICON look very similar
  16. Weather Mike
    great point !
  17. Weather Mike
    Possible but Euro still says no I am coming on shore just north of Tampa. Will have to see what unfolds
  18. Weather Mike
    So far looking like New Orleans far west to as far east and south as Port Charlotte area. Still long way away. Will it miss that trough or not ?
  19. Weather Mike
    any model pics of that ?
  20. Weather Mike
    Yea I dont like that run. Too close for comfort.
  21. Weather Mike
    snowing a lot in chi metro now
  22. Weather Mike
    GOM is open for business
  23. Weather Mike
    love that. Bang that north drum
  24. Weather Mike
    Wonderful to see that. On the plane now heading to Chicago. Those other members waiting to buy their tickets to come up north to get on this action, lets go. I feel better today for Chicago then I did yesterday.
  25. Weather Mike
    GEM also appeared to stay inline with the RAP
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