Wonderful to see that. On the plane now heading to Chicago. Those other members waiting to buy their tickets to come up north to get on this action, lets go. I feel better today for Chicago then I did yesterday.
agree. one goes a tick north and another a tick south etc. We are talking about small changes now. The main track is set. But its those norther fringe people that are most concerned with those small changes
thats great for Chicago metro. 6z HRRR was a great run as was the GEM. Nice also getting more love from the Euro this AM. Flying in today so looking forward to some great weather to enjoy while on business there. Will have to stroll lakeshore drive to take it all in. Still nervous as that northern fringe is close to I-88 region. Need that to hold back.
Well yesterday was more north trend and today is more south so we still have tomorrow for it to come back north so we don’t have to enjoy partly cloudy conditions in Chicago on Wednesday. However not looking good at the moment.
Agree GFS making some slight corrections south. Euro coming slightly north. ICON south. RGEM and NAM coming north.
What a battle. Some changes of 30-50 miles makes a difference.
Still too early in my opinion to say someone right outside maybe 100 miles cant cash in. GFS was terrible for that Boston blizzard 2 days before so this can still jog north or south some based on more sampling etc so these later runs and into Wed AM will be interesting. Plus for Chi metro lake enhancement will also be an unknown variable.
Ensemble mean from euro. Much different from op. Something dont seem right.
Hard to not lean towards the Ensembles as they have been steadfast vs op runs for some of these model runs such as this recent Euro
Agree as others have said we should all be thrilled with the large numbers in precip as that seems for sure now it’s just a matter of where this ends up after all the wobbling.