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Weather Mike

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Everything posted by Weather Mike

  1. Yea I dont like that run. Too close for comfort.
  2. Wonderful to see that. On the plane now heading to Chicago. Those other members waiting to buy their tickets to come up north to get on this action, lets go. I feel better today for Chicago then I did yesterday.
  3. GEM also appeared to stay inline with the RAP
  4. not good for chicago so we must throw that run out
  5. agree. one goes a tick north and another a tick south etc. We are talking about small changes now. The main track is set. But its those norther fringe people that are most concerned with those small changes
  6. thats great for Chicago metro. 6z HRRR was a great run as was the GEM. Nice also getting more love from the Euro this AM. Flying in today so looking forward to some great weather to enjoy while on business there. Will have to stroll lakeshore drive to take it all in. Still nervous as that northern fringe is close to I-88 region. Need that to hold back.
  7. Well yesterday was more north trend and today is more south so we still have tomorrow for it to come back north so we don’t have to enjoy partly cloudy conditions in Chicago on Wednesday. However not looking good at the moment.
  8. Agree GFS making some slight corrections south. Euro coming slightly north. ICON south. RGEM and NAM coming north. What a battle. Some changes of 30-50 miles makes a difference.
  9. Gary to Chicago is only 30 miles. Enough room at this time to bump north for larger totals in Chicago if the NAM were to verify.
  10. Still too early in my opinion to say someone right outside maybe 100 miles cant cash in. GFS was terrible for that Boston blizzard 2 days before so this can still jog north or south some based on more sampling etc so these later runs and into Wed AM will be interesting. Plus for Chi metro lake enhancement will also be an unknown variable.
  11. Here she comes ! The north trend is continuing
  12. I see that also. I fly into Chicago tuesday night for business so would love to catch a good snowstorm while I’m there.
  13. Euro has appeared to blink at least based on that 12z Looks similar to 12Z NAM
  14. Ensemble mean from euro. Much different from op. Something dont seem right. Hard to not lean towards the Ensembles as they have been steadfast vs op runs for some of these model runs such as this recent Euro
  15. Agree as others have said we should all be thrilled with the large numbers in precip as that seems for sure now it’s just a matter of where this ends up after all the wobbling.
  16. I like Chi metro position as others have mentioned. Plus this will wobble back north and south some so let’s see where this eventually ends up.
  17. agree this thread will become more active after that lake event and hopefully we can continue to see those numbers the GFS had yesterady.
  18. Thanks for the insight. I will be flying into Chicago Wed afternoon so will be watching this system and Mets like you closely.
  19. ICON has loved Chi town over and over these past couple of runs
  20. that would be epic. I am heading to the Green Bay game on the 2nd so please yes let that verify
  21. Any maps or ideas on the system that appears on the GFS and Euro around Jan 1-2nd? Looks good on some runs not all. Something to watch at least.
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