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Weather Mike

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Everything posted by Weather Mike

  1. Weather Mike
    Thats a lot of surge coming into Fort Myers and Port Charlotte.
  2. Weather Mike
    Yes that's terrible for Tampa. Tampa to Naples is my landing zone probability. Hoping for a change because that 06z GFS is terrible for me and others around the greater tampa bay area.
  3. Weather Mike
    Change from yesterday as now most major models are targeting Florida from the big bend to the Keys. See if this continues tomorrow and beyond.
  4. Weather Mike
    12Z CMC and ICON look very similar
  5. Weather Mike
    great point !
  6. Weather Mike
    Possible but Euro still says no I am coming on shore just north of Tampa. Will have to see what unfolds
  7. Weather Mike
    So far looking like New Orleans far west to as far east and south as Port Charlotte area. Still long way away. Will it miss that trough or not ?
  8. Weather Mike
    any model pics of that ?
  9. Weather Mike
    Yea I dont like that run. Too close for comfort.
  10. Weather Mike
    snowing a lot in chi metro now
  11. Weather Mike
    GOM is open for business
  12. Weather Mike
    love that. Bang that north drum
  13. Weather Mike
    Wonderful to see that. On the plane now heading to Chicago. Those other members waiting to buy their tickets to come up north to get on this action, lets go. I feel better today for Chicago then I did yesterday.
  14. Weather Mike
    GEM also appeared to stay inline with the RAP
  15. Weather Mike
    not good for chicago so we must throw that run out
  16. Weather Mike
    agree. one goes a tick north and another a tick south etc. We are talking about small changes now. The main track is set. But its those norther fringe people that are most concerned with those small changes
  17. Weather Mike
    thats great for Chicago metro. 6z HRRR was a great run as was the GEM. Nice also getting more love from the Euro this AM. Flying in today so looking forward to some great weather to enjoy while on business there. Will have to stroll lakeshore drive to take it all in. Still nervous as that northern fringe is close to I-88 region. Need that to hold back.
  18. Weather Mike
    Well yesterday was more north trend and today is more south so we still have tomorrow for it to come back north so we don’t have to enjoy partly cloudy conditions in Chicago on Wednesday. However not looking good at the moment.
  19. Weather Mike
    Agree GFS making some slight corrections south. Euro coming slightly north. ICON south. RGEM and NAM coming north. What a battle. Some changes of 30-50 miles makes a difference.
  20. Weather Mike
    Gary to Chicago is only 30 miles. Enough room at this time to bump north for larger totals in Chicago if the NAM were to verify.
  21. Weather Mike
    Still too early in my opinion to say someone right outside maybe 100 miles cant cash in. GFS was terrible for that Boston blizzard 2 days before so this can still jog north or south some based on more sampling etc so these later runs and into Wed AM will be interesting. Plus for Chi metro lake enhancement will also be an unknown variable.
  22. Weather Mike
    Here she comes ! The north trend is continuing
  23. Weather Mike
    I see that also. I fly into Chicago tuesday night for business so would love to catch a good snowstorm while I’m there.
  24. Weather Mike
    Euro has appeared to blink at least based on that 12z Looks similar to 12Z NAM
  25. Weather Mike
    Ensemble mean from euro. Much different from op. Something dont seem right. Hard to not lean towards the Ensembles as they have been steadfast vs op runs for some of these model runs such as this recent Euro
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