Mount Joy Snowman

Man, mid to late next week has the chance to be absolutely wild, with just wave after wave passing through. Rest up fellas.

Low of 27. Time to reel in some storms.

I've been pouring over the skew-T's and I think that subfreezing layer will be at least a few thousand feet thick for the bulk of the event. I'm putting my chips on this being a pretty big sleet bomb. I expect to be woken up to the not-so-sweet sound of pingers during the predawn hours.

Yeah the roads are going to be nightmarish Thursday morning. Usually in events like this it takes until around lunch time until things soften up enough to be passable. Hopefully people get the message.

It's still there, just quite narrow, but yeah, I was never fully bought in on the idea of multiple inches of snow during the day tomorrow.

I was just talking about this with my buddy who has a cabin up near Galeton that has only been snow-free for one or two days since Thanksgiving. They are still snow covered but barely. It's been an amazing run.

I just keep thinking in my head over and over about the coach/quarterback comparison and have a hard time getting past it. Andy/Pat vs Nick/Jalen feels like such a mismatch, especially with the extra week to prepare. The eagles Oline could set the tone but like Canderson said I think they’ll be hell bent on stopping Barkley and force Hurts to beat them. Can he? We shall see but I have my doubts. Most of my friends are Eagles fans so I’ll be rooting for them, and the Chiefs will start losing some of these games eventually but my head says 24-21 Chiefs. Ugh.

Low of 33 here but temp currently up to 40. Yesterday was a bust low but I say today busts high, as my P&C has a high of only 45. Oftentimes it’s just timing with these temp disparities. Time to hit the road for the train station. Choo choo.

The NAM has been very consistent in showing that narrow band of snow during the day on Wednesday out ahead of the main action. Not sure I buy it but something to keep a close eye on. Would be quite the score to put a little layer of white down before all the slop comes.

Truth, and yet I still find myself rooting for it like a complete weather psycho. I can't help it; I root for maximum winter events in all their forms and at all times. I'm a slave to the game ha.

So true about the CAD routinely being under-modeled. I almost always assume it will hold stronger than depicted. More often than not, it's just so hard to fully scour away that boundary layer. GFS just came through with another nice hit for next Tuesday, albeit scaled back from prior runs. Edit: And then it follows up with a more complex storm on Wednesday. Just complete tracking madness ha.

My .1" of glacial slop melted down to .04 liquid.

Low of 26 here with .1" of snow/sleet. Looks like a couple of ice storms to contend with on Thu/Sat. The best part of ice storms is getting to view all the wildly overdone pink model maps. What really has my attention is the middle of next week, quite intriguing. Fun tracking times ahead!

Yeah I’m thinking I’ll get to squeeze a .1” out of this. All surfaces covered.

I nice steady mix of sleet and snow here.

I think it’s fair to say we differ politically but this was funny haha.

That would be something. Maybe it’s as simple as they don’t think he can overcome his conditioning and/or injury issues. Seems like a reach. I have no idea but man the whole thing just smells fishy. I bet Silver’s going to poke around a bit to see how this all went down. Bad optics.

I’m not even sure what is left to debate. Phil settled everything when he decreed six more weeks of winter this morning. The only thing more rock solid than a Phil forecast is an MJS monthly mean temp calculation

This perked my ears up…. https://x.com/muweather/status/1886100611571003828?s=46&t=yE0m3aiFgMNKsTcNdUT1uw

I have not looked but assume they were talking about Boiling Springs? Likely wrestling.

Nothing about it makes any sense. If you are Dallas, how the hell do you not make it known Luka is available so you can create a bidding war and get a much bigger haul. Something is way off here.

Low of 15 here. Possible flakes for some of us later on this evening.

We just left Passerine haha. Popped in there after grabbing dinner at Double C. Now we are in East Petersburg at the reopened Josie’s Pub.

My wife and I are downtown right now. Rare night with a babysitter. Where all did ya pop in?

I hear ya pal. I’ve been over the whole flying thing for many years. I just don’t like it anymore, and I used to love it. I only fly when absolutely necessary nowadays. I saw your post from a while back where you expressed similar sentiments. It’s just….a lot.