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Mount Joy Snowman

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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman

  1. Mount Joy Snowman
    Nice little surprise here this morning, pretty scene with light snow falling and already over a third of an inch. Would be thrilled to see anything more than 2”. Let’s do this!
  2. Mount Joy Snowman
    The RDPS is the one model that has consistently wanted to bring 3-6" to Lancaster County, and does so again at 18z. Lock it in!
  3. Mount Joy Snowman
    MU Weather going with a far eastern solution.... He also adds this....
  4. Mount Joy Snowman
    I see that haha. Good lord that's outrageous.
  5. Mount Joy Snowman
    Eastern Massachusetts just got NAM'ed with 40" on the 18z haha.
  6. Mount Joy Snowman
    This looks very reasonable to me.
  7. Mount Joy Snowman
    When the bolded is brought up it's always a sure-fire sign that we're getting desperate
  8. Mount Joy Snowman
    12z GFS still wide right, pretty much a coastal scraper and complete non-event for the whole of Pennsylvania.
  9. Mount Joy Snowman
    Bottomed out at 6 here. Looks like the big winner nationally was Masardis, ME at -39. Well, it appears the models are in full windshield wiper mode. We could see anything from eastern Lancaster County getting damn near 6 inches to coastal NJ getting damn near nothing. I'd place my bet on somewhere on the MA peninsula between Boston and Cape Cod being the big winner with this one. On to 12z......
  10. Mount Joy Snowman
    Yep Ukie hasn’t wanted any part of this mess. UK for the win!
  11. Mount Joy Snowman
    Haha how about it. I mean, I'm not going to take one off-hour NAM run to the bank but if even places like coastal NJ and RI/MA get little to nothing out of this then, yikes.
  12. Mount Joy Snowman
    18z NAM removes any and all snow chances for PA. Not that this confirmation was needed but there it is. On to the rain-maker next week
  13. Mount Joy Snowman
    I hear ya man, I hear ya. Very frustrating, but also perhaps these high profile misses are distorting the larger picture for us.
  14. Mount Joy Snowman
    Funny I saw this right after my post about needing hard data. I totally believe it, as often times our perception and reality can be far off. Perhaps the Euro has still been the best with mean SLP placement and things like that but has also struggled more with patterns that would typically yield us our best storms, hence why the perception of it (as @Itstrainingtime noted) is somewhat diminished around these parts. Just food for thought. But it certainly has had more high profile misses lately.
  15. Mount Joy Snowman
    Yeah I'm pretty stunned myself. I recall back in the day the Euro was always considered the top dog and would typically lead the way, particularly with winter coastal storms, no? Just seems to have really fallen off but I would need to see hard data on that to be more certain.
  16. Mount Joy Snowman
    Euro with a noticeable shift east. Fat lady is singing with this one, at least for CTP land.
  17. Mount Joy Snowman
    Canadian 12z also a storm for the sharks, and again, Ukie has never been on board. Look for the Euro to cave soon.
  18. Mount Joy Snowman
    I was going to make this exact point, that at this time I'm actually more concerned about the frontal-induced snow showers on Friday not materializing for us more so than the coastal. Prospects seem to be dimming for anything worthwhile Friday as well. Ugh. Oh well, what are you gonna do? Such is this crazy hobby we choose to indulge in ha.
  19. Mount Joy Snowman
    GFS way out to sea. This isn't our storm folks.
  20. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 12 here. Trends overnight were.....not good. On the other hand, there seems to be great consensus amongst the models in sending a Low up the Ohio Valley to our west and providing us with quite the rain maker mid to late next week. Granted, still 200+ hours out on that one. Still pulling for that westward shift of the coastal but running out of time. Overall, not a lot to be excited about in the near to medium term.
  21. Mount Joy Snowman
    MU Weather thoughts......
  22. Mount Joy Snowman
    FWIW the Ukie has wanted no part of this storm having a meaningful impact on the interior. Model wars developing.....
  23. Mount Joy Snowman
    GFS a bit NW to these eyes but still not going to get it done. Baby steps.
  24. Mount Joy Snowman
    Not so much as a stray flurry here yesterday, not that I was expecting anything. Friday looks like some extreme morning cold, followed by scattered snow showers from the frontal passage, and then the coastal likely slides off below us. Hoping for some NW trends to bring meaningful precip back into eastern zones of the forum. Wouldn't bet on it but not ruling it out either. Today and tomorrow's runs crucial.
  25. Mount Joy Snowman
    A thing of beauty. Lock it in.
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