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Mount Joy Snowman

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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman

  1. Yep but we may be in luck, she's trying her best to reform....
  2. Man, lots of clearing here in the warm sector today, pap is sittin at 91! I'm tellin ya boys, with my low lying location off the ridge whenever we get any type of southerly flow I get hot hot. Some of the guidance has suggested our best shot down this way might not be until later this evening, hard to say but hoping for something exciting to happen, environment sure seems ripe. Looking forward to any reports from the western folks, as things seem to be lighting up out that way.
  3. I agree with those decrying the spottiness of todays storms, although someone should see at least some marginal severe activity out of it. CTP's thoughts.... As a tongue of higher, deep-layer moisture moves in from the Ohio Valley later this morning through this afternoon. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms will develop, and move east across the Alleghenies toward the noon hour. This convection will increase in intensity and coverage as it moves east across the Central Ridge and Valley region of the state this afternoon. Some of the thunderstorms could become severe with hail and brief, localized strong downburst wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph possible. Latest 26/00Z HREF supports increasing convection beneath the favorable right entrance region of a 90 kt upper level jet located over southern Ontario and Quebec. Convection- allowing guidance supports mostly discrete convection, as the strongest low level convergence remains over the Grt Lks with surface cold front and possibly over eastern Pa with pre-frontal trough. However, backing deep layer shear vectors may transition the event into line segments with some possible broken-s radar signatures associated with localized strong wind gusts where the shear can become nearly orthogonal with the line segments. SPC has expanded the SLGT risk to cover all of PA for this afternoon and early evening. Model soundings indicate mixing will result in falling surface dewpoints in the afternoon across much of the area, so anticipate CAPE only in the 500-1000 range for much of the region. The exception could be over the eastern counties, where there is enhanced southerly flow/moisture advection ahead of pre-frontal trough.
  4. I had a post yesterday morning discussing records for the weekend but only focused on min maxes, as that's where I thought the best shot was, albeit still a reach. Looks like the record lows for Harrisburg for Fri Sat Sun are 41 40 41. I actually topped out at 80 yesterday, might have been the hot spot east of the mountains ha.
  5. Yinz aint kiddin about Philly, once went to a regular season phillies game with some buddies while in college and next thing you know as we're just sitting there a beer goes flying by my buddy's head, all because he was wearing a Yankees hat. Then the guy tried to climb over a railing and come fight him, luckily security removed him quickly. Mind you they were playing the Marlins and my buddy is from New York and a life long Yanks fan, it's just the hat he would always throw on to go anywhere. Anyway, one of many tales I could tell about Philly fans but yes it's true that all cities have their nuts, Philly just a few more I would wager ha.
  6. I do not, but checking my spreadsheet for that day yields the following note: "Late afternoon T'storm with gusty winds and some localized hail". So yeah, there was definitely some severe weather in the area that day. I would typically make a note of any confirmed tornadoes in my area but I must have considered you too far to be local, who knows what I was thinking ha.
  7. Ha! Don't even go there, or I might have to have another lengthy twitter exchange with CTP
  8. Well, they're currently .6 above average for the month. So, even with a scorcher on tap for tomorrow I think they've got a shot to come in at or slightly below average if the Friday through Sunday period can average ~10 degrees below normal, which certainly seems possible if not probable.
  9. Pleasantly surprised to see .22" in the gauge this morning. Hey, what can I say, it's been rough around here lately ha. Now, if we can sore some storms Wednesday evening and then a more soaking rain on Friday we'll be in business. Either way, looking like a cool Memorial Day weekend. Looks like the record min maxes for Harrisburg for May 28, 29 & 30 are 57, 57 & 58, respectively. Saturday may have a shot but probably a bridge too far. I don't think any record lows will be challenged.
  10. I've only had two thunderstorms thus far this year. Just glanced at the gauge and it looks like maybe 6 hundredths of an inch, the race to a tenth of an inch is on!
  11. Yep, I'm at only .77" for the month out here ~10 miles west of the airport. Haven't had more than a tenth of an inch since May 7th. We'll see what today brings but I'm not optimistic.
  12. Likewise. Damn near cut my feet up walking around barefoot on the hard brown crunch that is my lawn yesterday. Really hoping for some rain to materialize this week.
  13. Well I officially started AC season today, switched over the return vents, put in a fresh filter and boom, we are off an running. Topped out at 88. Keep it down with all that DeSantis talk, you'll get me all excited over here haha. My man-crush on that guy grows more and more everyday. Best governor in America for my money, always seems to be a step ahead. Now, about all that rain, where can we find some?
  14. Another whopping .01" for me yesterday, bringing me to a total of .05" since May 8th and .76" for the entire month. Hot and dry looks to be the name of the game for a while, will be pulling for some rain somewhere along the line. Getting my first round of golf in for the year tomorrow. Onward....
  15. Per the PA DOH Covid Vaccine Dashboard, Philly has the lowest vaccination rate in the state at at just under 3k per 100k, whereas right next door Montgomery and Chester Counties have the highest rates at ~27k per 100k. Statewide, we have almost 5.5 million vaccinated out of a population of 13 million but the daily rate is dropping sharply. More people have died in PA over the age of 100 (like .01% of population) than under the age of 46 (well over half the population), which illustrates just how wildly covid skews towards the extreme elderly. I know this is not breaking news, just striking to see some of the stats laid out. Anywho, cases are dropping like a rock and daily deaths are miniscule. I believe same-day vaccination appointments are available for anyone who wants one. In my mind, all mitigation measures should be lifted. All of them. Sorry to go on, I just love numbers ha. Now off to pickleball, toodles gents.
  16. No but I know quite a few who do. However, I know absolutely nothing about them, so not sure why I responded at all. I'll see myself out.
  17. haha great point, and you will wear your mask forever, ya hear? Forever! Follow the science, don't question anything! But seriously, I love it when I hear these grand proclamations that you no longer have to wear masks outside or whatnot, and my wife and I just look at each other like "Uuuuuhhhh we've never worn masks outside but hey thanks!" So much theater of the absurd happening but on we go in the simulation haha, now back to weather.......
  18. Yeah it certainly looks to be on the dry side for the foreseeable future. Brown crunchy yards cometh early this year perhaps? Ugh.
  19. Bottomed out at 38 here last night. Just a beautiful stretch of weather incoming.
  20. Glad I could be the spark to light that fire haha. I was going to ask you what those other columns were but now I see that must just be how it copied and pasted from the records table and those are the records for the same dates for Jan Feb Mar and Apr as well. Good stuff but yeah doesn't look like anything is too likely except perhaps an outside chance at the two you pointed out. I do see that the record high for Harrisburg for today is 95 from 1963, something tells me we're going to fall just shy of that one.
  21. I only got .03" yesterday and .26" cumulative for the last three days, meh. Did hear some reports of sleet around us on Saturday though. Looks like a chilly but mostly pleasant week ahead before some more prolonged warmth tries to build in starting this weekend. Onward....
  22. Looks like a little under 1/4" for me but official measurement will be tomorrow morning. Beautiful windows open type afternoon. The line of storms associated with that cold front dropping southeast seems to want to bring us some action down here but hard to tell whether it's strengthening or weakening ha.
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