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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Probably won’t even have to shovel.
  2. TimB
    Euro may have put the final nail in the coffin.
  3. TimB
    I know the RAP can’t be trusted at this range or really any range, but it does drop 9” in 6 hours including a couple hours with 2-3” rates.
  4. TimB
    Even with all that radiational cooling we’re still sitting at +13.2 month to date. Just behind 1925 (at a different observing site) for warmest first 10 days of Feb ever.
  5. TimB
    As a second straight winter that is a complete and total failure for the eastern US becomes more and more of a possibility, it’s getting harder and harder to be positive and to not be cynical.
  6. TimB
    This thing is dead. CTP jumping the gun on issuing a winter storm watch with their already piddly 5” criteria compared to the 6” criteria the entire rest of the northeast uses, seems like false hope.
  7. TimB
    We won’t get 10:1 ratios, it depicts temps being above freezing the entire time snow is falling.
  8. TimB
    Ok, technically it still gets us a decent total, but is this at all promising?
  9. TimB
    And there it goes. Stick a fork in it.
  10. TimB
    Once the bleeding starts, it never stops. We know this by now. Another wasted storm and likely another wasted winter.
  11. TimB
    Note that this is through 2/21. 3-4” of snow in the southern half of PA outside the mountains over a 10 day period in February is approximately climo.
  12. TimB
    What a dumb winter. Can’t believe we got two of these in a row, and this one is somehow worse than last year, which was the worst winter that’s ever occurred here.
  13. TimB
    It’s over. 6z GFS had the 6-8” line clipping a portion of the county, at 18z no one in Allegheny gets more than 3-4.
  14. TimB
    18z NAM has us in a good spot but it continues to tick north. I’m worried we’re in a precarious spot and this is just part of a bad trend.
  15. TimB
    Razor thin margins, but love when this gets put in the point and click. That said, the Euro took a slight shift north at 12z. Far northern Allegheny county is still fine, but the rest of us are riding the slop line.
  16. TimB
    The depth maps are meh, so I’m thinking it’s bad temp profiles and tough to get accumulation anywhere close to 10:1 even with a mean of 7”, but who knows.
  17. TimB
    GEFS mean looks awesome.
  18. TimB
    And just like that, it’s gone on the GFS.
  19. TimB
    Sadly, the 0z GFS went the wrong direction. But the GEFS ensemble mean still looks pretty good.
  20. TimB
    6z run, I think.
  21. TimB
    Your arrogance is disgusting. I can’t wait until climate denial mostly dies with your generation.
  22. TimB
    This is the second time on record and first since 1878 that the first 7 days of February have featured exactly zero measurable precip. In 1878, there was measurable precip on the 8th. At this juncture, no model is showing precip before midnight tomorrow night, so we may make history.
  23. TimB
    Not on board with that. Take out the food and water part and we have a deal. Oh, and re: “human beings”, I’m not sure it’s settled science that climate deniers are human beings.
  24. TimB
    No, I’m saying that those who came to said conclusions have a lot more expertise in the matter than ChescoWx does. That’s why they, and not ChescoWx, were hired to do that job.
  25. TimB
    Anyone who believes the NCEI has a hidden agenda should be locked in a padded room.
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