TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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Some of these storms rolling in look pretty nasty on radar. Let’s hope the power stays on.
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First 90 is official.
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A little after 11am in mid-June and it’s already warmer at PIT than it was at any point during 2004.
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Anyway, plenty of opportunities for extreme heat this week and beyond. Seeing plenty of evidence that the heat simply reloads later in week 2 after a short break.
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So what you’re saying is, we may not have hit 100 in 1995 and maybe not even in 1988 with current ASOS technology? That if we had the current ASOS in place at its current location, it’s entirely possible that the location where Pittsburgh International is has never reached 100 degrees in the history of the city’s existence?
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“Hot and human” temperatures. So you’re forecasting a high of 98.6?
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When it really comes down to it, I agree. It would be foolish to expect temps to be maxed out during a heat wave without any convection or clouds to gum up the works, which it seems the models have picked up on, even if NWS is a little hesitant to buy into.
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From CTP discussion: uh, what?
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That whole forecast discussion is surreal. Never seen anything like that.
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NWS is all in:
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Models do seem to have backed off slightly with the extreme, eye popping numbers pushing 100.
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Oof, Pittsburgh might stay completely dry today.
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Just remember in perspective that not getting to 95 is a win in reality, even if it’d be exciting to see the big numbers.
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I seem to recall a heat wave in 2016(?) that was hyped with upper 90s in the forecast and then we officially topped out in the low 90s a couple days. But that wasn’t a weeklong gates of hell kind of thing.
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0z operational Euro is completely off the rails and can probably be thrown out, as it shows the heat intensifying into the weekend, with all time record highs being challenged just about everywhere.
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iOS app dropped temps a little, with only one day in the mid 90s but I’m not really seeing the data to support that. For one, the EPS ensemble mean is sitting between 94 and 96 at 18z every day from Monday-Saturday.
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NWS point and click is up to 95-96-96 at the airport and 98-99-99 downtown for the first three days of the workweek.
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If the airport gets to 95 or 96 sometime next week (entirely plausible), it would stand to reason that such a day would have possibly gone down as a 100 in days of yore when observations were downtown.
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I don’t believe most of our summer daily records, the vast majority are very old and only a few were set at the airport.
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I agree with this, low 90s is not “insanely hot” by any metric, though I do absolutely hate it. That said, I’m craving some interesting weather right now and a 1994-esque June heatwave would do it, but that doesn’t mean I won’t be complaining in real life about how hot it is.
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Speaking of, when was the last time we hit 95F at PIT legitimately? 2012? I don’t count September 2018 as the sensor was very obviously reading high during that period.
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Yeah, but MDT isn’t Pittsburgh. It hits 95F or more there nearly every summer, and often 100F. It’s hit 100F there in 7 different summers since we last did.
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Specifically East Nantmeal. America’s icebox.
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Assume they mean June 1994, but yeah.
