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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. Won’t comment until this event is over, but it’s best to just keep expectations low. It’s no secret that if there were a stat for “snow climo relative to neighboring areas”, Pittsburgh may very well be in or near last place in the entire US.
  2. You could argue December and February last year, though February was marginal (most of the snow on the ground for a few weeks was from the last day of January), but that’s the only winter since I moved back here in 2015 that had more than one winter month. You could also make a case for ‘17-18, but that would require you to include March.
  3. I’m a little down that unless the storm late next week pans out, 2 of the 3 winter months were abysmal, but I still view the MLK storm as a success.
  4. The commonality is that the model that shows the least snow or the most warmth has won almost every time. This time it’s the Euro.
  5. NWS is particularly pessimistic about that chance. They’re carrying a 20% chance of precip.
  6. Euro suggests another waste of an inch and a half of QPF this time next week.
  7. Like, is it too much to ask that more than one of the three winter months looks and feels like winter in any given year?
  8. Today’s high at PIT looks like it’ll be the 35 recorded at midnight. AGC’s high for today will be 59. Quirks of frontal timing.
  9. 2021 had the remnants of Ida but that doesn’t really count. What I am thinking of in 2021 is the second rainiest March day in Pittsburgh’s history (2.19” on 3/18). Yesterday’s 1.6” was 7th all time for Feb. It’s these garden variety rainy days that end up being historic that stick in my mind.
  10. Haven’t looked at models yet but going to guess guidance trended badly/torchy on next week’s system based on a quick glance at the iPhone weather app? Oh well, can still enjoy whatever we get today/tomorrow, even if it’s not much.
  11. PIT is up to 57 with wind still screaming out of the SSW. It’ll be interesting to see what goes in the books for tomorrow’s high. Edit: just like that, we are going to have our first official 60 degree reading of 2022 at PIT as of 10:30. From 54 to 60 in a half hour.
  12. It’s easy to get a lot of precip when the dewpoint is 53. But it can’t snow when the dewpoint is 53.
  13. That’s the other thing I hate about our recent weather, is how often we get these big precip dumps.
  14. Set to completely obliterate our daily rainfall record, previously 0.82” and now pushing 1.5” at PIT. Should be a top 10 wettest February day on record.
  15. Euro continues to point to one of the worst features of our climo: it can be anomalously cold before and after a storm, but the storm itself is a rainy torch.
  16. Edited my post above. The evolution of the Canadian is weird, to say the least. Not sure how it plays out that way.
  17. But I digress. Canadian is a huge hit, but the evolution is wonky.
  18. Also Pittsburgh interesting weather climo, summed up in one map:
  19. That’s what I’m seeing. Best case we get a front end advisory level thump that melts as soon as it turns to rain and temps blast toward 50ish. Worst case we get 2” of straight rain.
  20. Lots of time to iron out the details but it sure is looking like we get a colder pattern mid-next week, but as soon as it’s time for the storm it cuts and we torch, as is typical for Pittsburgh.
  21. The last of the MLK bust melted from my yard today. I ordered myself a nice dinner via DoorDash to celebrate.
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