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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    That said, the day will come in just 7 short years when last winter replaces 92-93 in the normals and this winter replaces 93-94.
  2. TimB
    I mean logically, no, I don’t believe sub-20” winters have suddenly become the norm when we just had close to 60” a few years ago.
  3. TimB
    Depends how you define bad stretches tbh. If this year ends up being less than 20” like last year, there’s only one time that’s happened back to back (the first 3 winters of the 1930s). So something no one here has lived through.
  4. TimB
    Not saying it would be a shock, just that it’d be a real kick in the nuts. It’s really hard to get a win around here anymore.
  5. TimB
    February isn’t the best month to try and make up ground either, you’re battling climo as normals rise into the 40s by mid month.
  6. TimB
    Pretty strong signal for a ridge beyond day 10. If next week doesn’t pan out we could be in dire straits by the end of January.
  7. TimB
    Meh, GEFS ensemble mean looked horrific. About 3” over the entire 16 days. That’s like 50% of climo for that period.
  8. TimB
    Took the wind right out of my sails. 10 days of mostly cold weather and no snow in sight. It even makes it get above freezing next Thursday without even needing the help of a cutter.
  9. TimB
    GFS, Canadian and ICON all look acceptable for Mon/Tues.
  10. TimB
    Still, it’s slightly skewed by the fact that 2010 happened to be split pretty evenly between two days, which is just bad luck.
  11. TimB
    We just hit 30 years on this streak last week.
  12. TimB
    It’s not going to snow this winter, but that’s affecting me less and less as spring becomes visible ahead of us.
  13. TimB
    Ahoff and I have settled our beef. It might be freeing if you and Rd9108 did the same.
  14. TimB
    We did the bitter cold with bare ground thing twice last winter, why not do it again.
  15. TimB
    6z GFS wants to do the Tuesday thing now. Problem is, the Euro is now having none of it.
  16. TimB
    Late next week also seems to be a window now. GFS and CMC both have something.
  17. TimB
    Another daily record at PIT. 1.25”. We’re slowly continuing to lose days that have never recorded an inch of precip.
  18. TimB
    I haven’t seen that language that far out in awhile.
  19. TimB
    GFS and its ensemble want nothing to do with that storm. More Arctic influence and deeper cold.
  20. TimB
    Only 14 for those of us who don’t pay for pivotal
  21. TimB
    The early next week thing looks good on the Euro.
  22. TimB
    Well, p-type must have been snow at onset. What a slushy mess.
  23. TimB
    Hate tossing weeks when there aren’t that many left, but hopefully something pans out. I’m confident that with all these storms and polar vortex pieces rolling through the US, we have a good shot at cashing in somewhere.
  24. TimB
    I think the GFS did much better for our area. Can’t speak for overall, for the entire area the storm affected.
  25. TimB
    6z GFS looked great. Keeps us cold but not bitter cold from late week on and in an active storm track with lots of opportunities to score. Euro, not so much. After the weekend storm (which does little for us) it pumps a pretty sizable eastern ridge out ahead of that piece of polar energy. I’d think that’s a warm and wet to cold and dry scenario. I would guess a lot of our upcoming pattern depends on where the piece of polar energy ejects, which is far from certain at this point.
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