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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Cvill gonna steal this one
  2. SnowenOutThere
    40 degrees outside feeling amazing. Got to only wear my winter coat today without the hat and gloves!
  3. SnowenOutThere
    I think a pinned photo thread for all seasons would be a great addition. Oftentimes I’m cross posting my pictures between obs threads and the severe weather thread come spring.
  4. SnowenOutThere
    I mean if our clipper falls apart even more it’s conceivable that energy helps make that storm come north. Probably too late for you but Cvill might get into the fringe
  5. SnowenOutThere
    Eh it’s what we hoped the midweek thing could be before its energy got split. It happens
  6. SnowenOutThere
    I use lightroom to do this. A free alternative is resizing stuff using ms paint though I'm sure theres an easier way to do this.
  7. SnowenOutThere
    Anyways, if we are getting a warmer break in our winter I do hope we manage to get some pleasant days out. While the snowpack (icepack?) has been nice I'm ready to be able to go outside without being bundled up. Hopefully will go to Shenandoah this Tuesday to see the frozen ice falls before they melt.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Yep, our historically run in the past 10 years has been a combination of failing to get good patterns combined with the extremely frustrating habit of wasting the patterns we do get. Is what it is but does continue to sting that we are going to exit another rare respite in our bad patterns with two close calls.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    I like this storm. Quick dustings-coatings are my favorites because its low stress and still pretty.
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Southern/central VA 1-3 inch events have been my specialty this year
  11. SnowenOutThere
    Gotta feel bad for them after getting shafted by this storm and the one that hit us. At least we aren't them.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    Its a great look. I would replay last weekend over and over again if I could as we got probably the "worst" outcome we could besides suppression given the pattern.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Remember when everyone was calling this threat dead at 12z. Good times. Seriously though we gotta see how our current failure plays out to know what this one will do so we got at least two more days of model swinging.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    Yeah would suck to get a total of 2 inches of snow before the flip to sleet and then watch a storm hit south... Seriously though it is what it is and we'll have more chances. Don't need to doom and gloom yet.
  15. SnowenOutThere
    If it’s based on this weekend they are completely different setups. Besides this weekend was never a good chance! It had a high upside but the ens barely ever had a 30%+ of an inch!
  16. SnowenOutThere
    If you look at past runs like yesterday that had the storm further north we had an 850 low in the Ohio valley which was advecting warm air northward. It’s a delicate balance and id rather be on the southern end than the rainy northern end.
  17. SnowenOutThere
    Not sure why we’re crashing out so hard right now. It’s nearly 6 days away and will take time to resolve. Besides if this storm goes north we rain! Frankly it being to our south is the best shot we get something frozen even if we aren’t the jack zone
  18. SnowenOutThere
    This seems fine? No need to panic yet as it’s still a good depiction.
  19. SnowenOutThere
    Yeah, I think next week is a far better setup percentage wise to get us some snow. I never liked this week because it was an all or nothing and we needed so many things to go right to get it to work. Meanwhile next week just needs a decent wave track which is something we could possibly get.
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Ngl if I see this graphic again without significant snowfall from it imma crash out
  21. SnowenOutThere
    It was honestly really impressive. Though only having ohill open for three days was rough for some people on Sunday and Monday. I just survived off my Saturday 6am wegmans bakery run
  22. SnowenOutThere
    UVA canceled (all online) Monday and Tuesday with a 10am start yesterday and now it’s back to normal. They did an incredible job internally with ice removal but Charlottesville is a complete mess so a ton of professors are self canceling.
  23. SnowenOutThere
    I like this map. If we can get the disturbance underneath us we don’t need to worry too much about the 18z gfs rainstorm in a cold pattern outcome. Instead we get an 18z ai gfs snowstorm for the whole forum.
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Remarkably similar to last weeks setup. As a reminder to folks it took a truly Herculean amount of things to go wrong for that setup to “bust” as badly as it did.
  25. SnowenOutThere
    In fairness not much to even pound What a mess. We still got time but an outcome like this isn't unlikely. Between this week and next week I'd say they're both events worth watching but def not worth any investment.
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