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SnowenOutThere

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  1. Went up to Shenandoah and watched the sun rise above the inversion with a friend! Hiked up to Mary’s rock and then the mid level clouds broke and it got sunny. Could see the mist try to build and make its way up the mountain. At the top it was mid 60s and within 5 miles it was 50s and grey.
  2. I’m up in nova for break right now so I’ll be on the north side of Shenandoah. I need to take a better look this evening but I’ll @ you. Though honestly i plan to nowcast using https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-W_Virginia-truecolor-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined and for you the Charlottesville airport has ceiling height (though not ceiling top).
  3. Yeah… on spring break so I woke up less than an hour ago. Thought the cams looked better for tomorrow. Curious to know what you think though
  4. What sort of convection is it? Elevated I assume since the temp inversion near the surface
  5. Hoping the BDCF clears far enough south tomorrow so I can wake up early and watch the sunrise over the cloud deck in Shenandoah. Been a bucket list item for me.
  6. Gradient is tightening and we are slowly losing the battle but around the immediate DC area we're still at -2 degrees.
  7. Man driving back on FFX parkway and Reston town center area got screwed. Areas a mile or two north got the initial band and then a couple miles south moderate dendrites started with more snow on the ground. Now home and nice fluffy snow. Perfect for a post hike hot tub
  8. Interesting. I hiked Seneca regional park (super pretty, pictures will come later) but didn’t notice a different between the top of the hills and the Potomac at the bottom. Guess everything was cold enough.
  9. Went on a drive to Seneca state park to hike and the snowfall gradient on ffx parkway past route 606 was insane. In half a mile went from snow topping the trees to snow on the grass. Would’ve been so pissed to be right on that line.
  10. You can tell we actually have good dynamics aloft from the “flurries” being dendrites but we need some juice
  11. Did see a couple cams move towards this overnight but wanted to hope it wouldn't happen. Sucks to be between bands but what can you do.
  12. Hey we're in the same boat! ... this boat sucks. At least we seem to have a decently put together precip shield making its way east.
  13. Man the 511 cameras following 28 north really show how once you get past old ox road the sky just opens up.
  14. Nothing outside. Dew point has gone up slightly but it’s clear I’m waiting for the stuff out past the blue ridge. Congrats to the people in the band!
  15. Think this might be your storm for payback after my backyard got the band last Sunday. Hoping it can slink just 5 miles south
  16. KIAD will be good to track as snow starts making it's way into the lower atmosphere. SPC shows some scattered FGEN at the 700mb level but better dynamics out west. Which, to be fair, I didn't think this would start so early.
  17. I think you just need to expand your hiking weather. Next to no one is out on our April to June perfect track gulf soakers which provides a really cool vibe. Additionally, some trails have next to no one on them at anytime for some reason. Personally, I plan to fully use this time period before bugs and yellow jackets infest the trails.
  18. You know we're done with winter when our March write up is on severe weather
  19. Some models have it better than others. Though enough show something of that sort where I'm cautiously hopeful. Don't really know where this lift is coming from but GFS and mesos show some 850-700mb temp advection and resulting FGEN which I guess will be something to watch tomorrow. I'm trying to finish my Modern Political Theory essay on Hobbes from home tomorrow ("spring" break) so some nice ambiance would be cool.
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