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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Great Falls was pretty nice today. Full but not overflowing and the trees/plants all looked happy.
  2. SnowenOutThere
    Looks like all the models give us another .5-2 inches of rain beyond this current system. CMC and GFS have it mainly fall on Monday-Tuesday with it's specific disturbance while Euro focuses it more with Thursday.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    If your argument is that its not dry this year then I got a bridge to sell you over the Potomac.
  4. SnowenOutThere
    For the record it does seem like we keep a wet pattern about here through Wednesday.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    I’ll happily be enjoying my 30 degrees with ripping snow on the trails of WV.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    I like the look of everything down south right now. Besides, our main rain batch is tomorrow all day (morning rain shield to spotty heavy showers).
  7. SnowenOutThere
    Still have 1000+ CAPE for the immediate suburbs to help wring out the now moist atmosphere. As long as we can buy some forcing we should be able to rain. Hopefully the front sags south to help out the people who got skunked earlier.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    One of the freakier experiences I’ve had so far with thunderstorms. Went for a brief walk once the gust front passed and could feel the new cells building ontop of me. Super gusty winds with low level scud clouds moving every which way.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    I need that cell out near the plains to hold together and not drift north. Still hasn't shown a microburst signature of collapse yet, but the gust front is far out ahead of it so I doubt it can keep going forever.
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Southern severe cell is aimed directly at my backyard. Time to see if it falls apart or microbursts overhead.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    Areas along the Fredrick cells might need a flash flood warning with the training motion if they don’t collapse on themselves.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    Two more severe warnings just went up out near the VA/WV border
  13. SnowenOutThere
    It just doesn’t even initiate with them. Can’t kill what you’re not modeling.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    Anywho, low level lapse rates are past 9 degrees C/km so we’re approaching unconditionally unstable with 2000+ Cape and 1300 DCape. I’d imagine things pop off quickly near DC once outflow boundaries reach us
  15. SnowenOutThere
    They have 40 day forecasts in the future you know!
  16. SnowenOutThere
    We did get a 2inch precip storm in January. Just nothing before or after. Which seems to be our pattern now
  17. SnowenOutThere
    Even yesterday could feel the ability for the DCape to work its magic from the gust front winds alongside gusty winds with a downpour. Just need some taller cells to full take advantage of it.
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Betting we get storms that pop up in the inner burbs once the gust front hits the bay/river breeze boundary. The gust front came through a bit ago and dropped temps nearly 15 degrees so it’s legit. Now about to get some rain hopefully.
  19. SnowenOutThere
    Any met want to weigh in on if Spruce Knob WV should be clear enough to stargaze tonight? Seems like it’s my last day to do so for a while.
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Thoughts on today? I listed out some of my thoughts in the Discobs thread but do we have any hope of a boundary causing forcing?
  21. SnowenOutThere
    We’re already over 2000 CAPE, -6 lifting index, 7.5 ML lapse rates, and lost 150 CIN in the past three hours. It sucks we have no shear or forcing because our thermodynamic parameters are really good! We even got 1200 DCAPE for severe winds. Maybe a bay breeze boundary can get parcels to the LFC?
  22. SnowenOutThere
    I like how at the end of its run we get days of summer storms. Hot and humid of course, but with daily storms is nice.
  23. SnowenOutThere
    Gorgeous sunset alert
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Surprised to see storms coming into VA from WV that seem to be holding together. Interested to see what happens to them.
  25. SnowenOutThere
    Just a shame that it can’t be used again in winter forecasting. Though that makes sense as the NAM is pretty bad with spring-fall systems and convective events. Can’t have your cake and eat it to I suppose.
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