TheNiño

Actually asking. What is the effect of the tropical storm going to have on this? It has to have some impact I feel like it’ll steal some energy, no? Nobody seems to be talking about it and I’m legit asking

Water spout at Cedar Point

EF-1 confirmed in Somers near Kenosha. Missed me by a few miles. That is the second confirmed tornado in the little town of Somers this season. https://www.fox6now.com/news/wisconsin-confirmed-tornado-thursday-061126.amp

This is from Kouts

Given how beautiful the Kenosha storm was there is a TON of pictures/videos coming in. I’m thinking the “public confirmed” tornado was actually a rotating wall cloud that never actually made it to the ground. But given the rotation a lot of people thought it was.

Confirmed tornado in northern Kenosha. Missed me by a few miles. Video here: https://x.com/kenoareaweather/status/2065212739945934931?s=46 (Not the actual tornado but just an early video put out) Absolutely beautiful storm though

My brothers tree took a lightning strike in Algonquin. Power is still out there as well

Power just went out in Algonquin

Wasn’t expecting a watch this far east. Probably won’t even get here until 4-5am and I can’t imagine it’ll stay together but we’ll see. I’ll take a few rumbles even if that’s the most I get out of it. edit: ended up being nothing as expected but some good c2g so I’ll take it

Was south of Springfield 2 weeks ago and was commenting to a friend that I’ve never seen so much dust blowing around in Illinois before. The winds weren’t even all that strong. About an hour later we got a push alert on our phones for a dust storm warning. I don’t think I’ve ever had a push alert for that in Illinois before.

Milwaukee has 35,000 without power as well

Moderate now for parts of Missouri and Illinois. I feel somewhat vindicated.

00z HRRR came in hot for eastern Missouri and central Illinois. Looking like a more limited risk for LOT but things down south are looking quite spicy Edit: No moderate risk on the new day 1. Is my weenie certificate mailed to me or do I need to pick it up in person?

No moderate risk on the day 2 so I’ll probably be wrong. But I still see high risk potential in the Springfield area tomorrow. I’m willing to take the weenie penalty if I’m wrong but at the very least there should be a moderate there. I don’t know I’m just some fucking guy.

Am I being a weenie thinking this has high risk potential around the STL to Springfield area? I know it’s still too early to tell but the models certainly aren’t backing down.