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Activity is getting started on the Sebec Lake cam: http://sebeclake.net/camera_2.html Typical green arc is slowly brightening and climbing higher. Hopefully a nice substorm erupts.

Reached G4 now.

Yeah. Down here, I've got that damn storm by Albany which is spewing a nice mass of clouds this way. Not to mention it's already 95% overcast to begin with.

Find clear sky. This could easily hit G4...this solar wind stream is absolutely perfect and about as juicy as it gets.

That disappointing sunspot from a few days ago decided to really rub salt in the wounds. This backside CME looks straight out of 2003.

f***

The guy who has insulted the intellect of more people here than anyone else, even attacked Dave, has the balls to suggest he be responded to with more tact, haha. The only crusade was from you. You have a flimsy understanding of the Kp index and used it to suggest we weren't missing anything when the realtime data made it quite clear that we were. There is literally nothing else to discuss about this.

Yeah this is going to be a dud. The current solar wind isn't even good for Santa. Bummer.

You are one weird dude. I said we were missing out because the timing was off and we were missing out on what would easily reach G2 or better. Your "explanation" was evaded because the complex mechanics behind the weakness in the auroral oval on the daylight side of the earth, and premature evaluations of the Kp, were both rather irrelevant.

I see.

By miss, I mean be on the wrong side of the planet. The Kp index tells you only what you've missed over the last 3 hours. It's useless as an indicator of present or future activity.

lol, just saw it arrived a few hours ago. Bz is more than -20 so we're missing a great show. Odds of it staying that way for the next 14 hours are 0.01%.

Do you have any loops? I'll take anything you've got since I lost my folder with stuff from that day.

7/6/99 was my greatest storm of all time. There was the initial gust front, then a lull, then a solid wall of white that raced across the lake from the NW. It looked like a heavy snow squall. I stood outside in an absolute whiteout of wind-whipped mist and enjoyed the smell of splintering pines. I saw basically nothing, but nothing has come close to the loudness of the wind ever since. It remains the only time wind has knocked over trees on my property. A+, would enjoy again. Tornado in Barnstead that day, too.

Almost makes me sad that I wasn't awake to know it was missing to the north. I could have worked up quite the frothy rage. I need a summer home around FYV. Those people probably don't even know how good they have it.

Been waiting for my derecho for about 20 years now. Getting impatient.

f***

I'm sad.

Look how skillfully it depicts me not having the warmth.

No moon tonight, either. All you really need is this link. That dip to near -20bz would have been great had it lasted until dark. This is the front end of a coronal hole that supposedly has a weak CME entangled in it. Should see a sudden jump in the solar wind speed at some point if true. http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/ace-mag-24-hour.gif

Conditions are currently prime for a G2, fyi.

Pretty potent event this afternoon... reached G3. Not much going on now.

Just noticed we missed a potent G3 this evening by a few hours. Nice negative Bz flipped as the sun set. Some residual activity still ongoing right now along the horizon in a very low greenish arc.

Yep. Nice solid G2. Looks like a couple nice coronal holes coming as well.

Perfectly positioned megaspot 2473 spewed a nice full halo CME today during a long duration M1 flare. Definitely going to be some good action around the 30th.