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Irish

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Everything posted by Irish

  1. Irish
    Pretty soon Bermuda will be in trouble!
  2. Irish
    Map?
  3. Irish
    And a day off from school tomorrow, leading into a 3-day weekend.
  4. Irish
    You can't make this stuff up. I'm in Old Bridge with a WWA, 2 minutes north of Manalapan, 5 minutes north of Englishtown, and 15 minutes north of Freehold, which all have WSW.
  5. Irish
    Posted by a met on another board named rb924119: All this talk about H5 and the latest NAM run, but nothing is being mentioned about the rest of the atmosphere??? Come on, my fellow snow-starved weather nut family, we’re better than this!! lol to me, the changes at H5 seem to be relatively minor compared to previous runs, but it’s what’s happening everywhere else that made the difference. Let’s work from the lower levels, upward, starting at the 850 hPa level. 850 hPa (and even further below): Notably stronger f-gen/isentropic forcing likely induced by enhanced low-level vortex tube stretching and associated cyclonic vorticity/curvature thanks to an anomalous westerly wind component coming across the Appalachians. We aren’t dealing with a regular trough here; it’s actually a lobe of the Tropospheric PV, which is highly anomalous at this latitude, and therefore, modeling has been under-representative of the effects that this will have on the atmosphere.This also goes for all levels above this as well. 700 hPa: similar to the changes seen at the 850 hPa level. 250 hPa: Notably stronger jet streak with our area located in the left exit region, which allows enhanced forcing for ascent. This is directly a result of the enhanced f-gen in the lower levels. All of these enhanced forcing mechanisms align, which resulted in the higher output. In my opinion, having only looked at this tonight, the enhanced solution would seem to fit the anomalousness of having a lobe of the tropospheric PV rotating overhead, and modeling being slow to pick up on that, and I would therefore not be surprised to see these trends continue across guidance over the next couple of runs. Carry on.
  6. Irish
    What exactly are you feeling tonight?!
  7. Irish
    Screw the euro, wasn't it off for this last storm too?
  8. Irish
    Norlun Trough: An axis of shifting winds on the NW side of a low. They are known to bring very localized, very heavy bands of snow so that one town gets buried and the next barely receives an inch. These features are wicked fickle and are very hard to forecast. Google... my friend.
  9. Irish
    I know he's trying to tell me something here, but what...
  10. Irish
    Same here for Edison and Old Bridge.
  11. Irish
    What app is that?
  12. Irish
    Action Recommended Execute a pre-planned activity identified in the instructions Issued By Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service Affected Area Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey Description ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey. WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday. IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow expected this evening into tonight. A change over to mixed precipitation is likely Tuesday morning for more southeastern areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
  13. Irish
    And back to getting an inch again.
  14. Irish
    It came in Namplified.
  15. Irish
    Until it's not. lol
  16. Irish
    This guy brought the bad JuJu!! Off with his head, a sacrifice to the snow gods.
  17. Irish
    Who's DT? Cause I respect Daryll Talley, Demaryius Thomas, and Derrick Thomas but didn't know any were meteorologists.
  18. Irish
    Put your dukes up!
  19. Irish
    We don't need snow for that. Watching the Giants play is like being in hell already.
  20. Irish
    This is what I was mentioning earlier. The dude I was reading from another board, is a bright one, and he was all over the cold getting in here and producing wintery precip, while everyone else was saying all rain. Should be fun to track and see how it unfolds...
  21. Irish
    I frequent another board and one guy there is suggesting that models are catching up yet but that there could me more cold air and snow than most expect with this next system.
  22. Irish
    You could always just cancel church permanently. I did, talk about living free!
  23. Irish
    I'll pass, that looks like a plate of hell for me, especially considering I'm allergic to peas. Lol
  24. Irish
    https://servimg.com/view/19858976/512 Another slide NW from the GFS.
  25. Irish
    Same here and honestly, I think the high end listed could end up really being a possible low end when all is said and done as we could hit 20" or more.
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