Spanks45

but it has a change over at the end....Lol

Yeah, I am just half joking...When I see massive cold dumps, I just assume cold and dry. This "warmer" look showing up might just do it for us, with a nice snow blitz coming up. I am definitely optimistic.

Its going to be 2016 all over again, the GFS at 18z gives me flashbacks....No snow, followed by a monster storm just to our south, that would push many off the edge, lol

GFS at day 8 looks like it might have a fun solution....lots up blocking up north

not a met, but when lower heights start showing up in the Alaskan region in the longer range with temps below average in that region, it is definitely a step backwards. The -EPO is starting to fade....never a good sign unless there is a -AO or -NAO showing up which might be starting to happen in the AO region, but nothing exciting as of now....Locally, I am amazed at how warm the coastal waters are in the Eastern Atlantic and the entire basin for the most part...definitely affecting systems like this weekend more so than normal with an easterly flow.

They definitely seemed to have taken another step backwards last night (ensembles), but still workable around here. hopefully....Maybe we do have to wait until February, definitely a warmer look showing up 10 days from now. Hopefully we can score a quick 2-4 inches Saturday

There is always light at the end of the tunnel, lol.....More of a step down to the eventual cold pattern setting up toward the end of the month, I would assume.

I haven't looked at the ensembles today, but maybe something comes out of no where 5-6 days out? Something like the Euro was teasing with yesterday...But the way this season has gone, besides 10 days in December I am sure we are going to end up with -10°F departures with a trace of precip until the brief warmup beginning to show up in the 10 day means...

My dog was carrying this around this morning...haven't seen this toy since November? Sign of the times?

like my 1 inch of sleet/snow will be doing on Saturday night...seems like we can't even get a good snow to sleet to drizzle SWFE...This will be a quick burst of snow to pouring rains down here, then a flash freeze of our mud puddles

This....Just walked outside to misery mist falling, I am about ready to move on to spring(probably more misery mist)....Sunday was amazing. On the other hand, we need a harsh winter soon or we will be dealing with EEE before we know it....

time to stock up on firewood and fill the oil tanks.....I hope the snow bullseye sets up about 150ish miles to the west, for personal reasons obviously

I have an 8 and 6 year old that find any reason to go outside, in pretty much any weather...they are definitely in the minority. They will go on "play dates" which end up sitting inside and watching tv or playing on some sort of electronic device. It is sad, I remember never wanting to be inside while growing up, I still don't....

That was the infamous "bomb cyclone" I still ended up with 11.5" from that....

I hope so, just saw pictures from the blizzard 2 years ago....I am ready, lol

The GEPS and to a certain extent the GEFS have it as well, hopefully it isn't a head fake or a transient ridge that goes right back to what we have been dealing with....MJO may have those answers?

Outside of this weekend, the Euro didn't have a "torch" look to it, I am not even sure it looked that warm....just no snow to be seen outisde of NNE.

If it is going to be warm during the coldest time of year, lets really torch it....Saves a ton on heating costs

It would be nice to see the ground white again for a couple days before the January torch...Kids need to use their sleds for a bit, they are already talking about spring

Looks like the 6z Euro is SE of 0z....that was quick again, still 48+ hrs to go, so we watch

Nam with 8-12 inches around here....I will toss those into the Housatonic and assume it is going back to the east. Tomorrow morning looks like a perfectly timed dusting to half inch to cripple the morning commute.

I know the warm up/thaw is coming, but even 10 days from now, the EURO is showing quite the push of cold coming down....I know it is the OP and all, but I have seen worse this season alone...If it is going to warm up with little snow, I want 60s, not 40s...

GEFS continues that theme...

We are actually in winter now and it has been pushing 4 days since we have been below freezing here....the mosquitoes are going to be out and about soon.

The GEFS at 18z kinda showed this at the end of the run too....maybe the thaw will end up being 2 weeks instead of 4?